MELBOURNE - Oct 24/12 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Fire Weather Warning has been issued for the Channel Country for Thursday. A Strong Wind Warning is current for coastal waters from Torres Strait to Cairns, and from Sandy Cape to Cape Moreton. A Strong Wind Warning is current for northeast Gulf of Carpentaria waters north of Cullen Point. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A high [1021 hpa] over the Tasman Sea extends a firm ridge along the east coast of Queensland. The ridge is expected to weaken gradually over the next couple of days. A low pressure system well off the coast over the far northern Tasman Sea is pushing a large ocean swell towards Queensland. A surface trough is expected to move over the Channel Country on Thursday. Forecast for the rest of Wednesday Fine over most of the state, though some high cloud over the east. Isolated showers about the north tropical coast and northern and eastern Cape York Peninsula. Possible isolated showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf Country. Powerful surf along the east coast south from Sandy Cape. Fresh and gusty E to SE winds along the east coast. Moderate mostly SE to NE winds elsewhere, tending fresh and gusty over the interior during the morning and early afternoon. Forecast for Thursday Fine over most of the state. Isolated showers about the north tropical coast and northern and eastern Cape York Peninsula. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf Country. Powerful surf along the east coast south from Sandy Cape, gradually easing during the afternoon and evening. Moderate to fresh and gusty E to SE winds along the tropical east coast. Moderate mostly SE to NE winds elsewhere, tending moderate to fresh and gusty NE to NW over the west ahead of a S to SE change moving over the Channel Country. A Severe Fire Danger in the Channel Country district. A Very High Fire Danger in the Capricornia, Central Highlands and Coalfields, Northwest and Central West districts. Forecast for Friday An upper level trough over central Australia will produce some high cloud over the far southwest, spreading eastwards over the southern interior during the day, but little if any rainfall is expected. The surface trough will move further eastwards into the central and southeastern interior, allowing temperatures to ease over the southwest Channel Country, while at the same time producing isolated afternoon showers about the Northwest district. Isolated light showers near Torres Strait. Very warm to hot temperatures over most of western, central and southeast Queensland with an elevated fire danger expected. Forecast for Saturday The upper level trough will linger over central Australia, while the surface trough will move eastwards and off the southeast coast. High cloud with patchy light rain and isolated thunderstorms is likely to spread across most of western and southern Queensland, reaching the southeast in the afternoon and evening. Little rainfall is expected to reach the surface due to the dry lower atmosphere. However, the combination of this cloud and the surface trough near the Southeast Coast is more likely to generate isolated showers and thunderstorms during the day. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are also possible over the Gulf Country ahead of the surface trough. Remaining fine and mostly sunny over the northeast tropics. Daytime temperatures will remain above average over the east, but will fall to below average over the southwest due to the southerly wind flow. Forecast for Sunday A high pressure system is expected to move across southeast Australia and over the Tasman Sea in the evening. The high is expected to extend a ridge over far southeast Queensland with cloudy and cooler conditions and isolated showers. The surface trough is likely to shift westwards into the central and southern interior and combined with an amplifying upper trough over the west is expected to generate showers and thunderstorms to its east over the remainder of southeast Queensland and central districts. Isolated showers and possible thunderstorms over the eastern tropics. Fine and mostly sunny over western Queensland in the drier conditions west of the surface trough. Outlook for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday The upper trough is likely to move slowly eastwards during Monday and Tuesday before moving off the east coast by Wednesday. The high over the Tasman Sea is expected to extend a ridge over the east Queensland coast, feeding in moisture into the surface trough over the interior. As a result, showers and thunderstorms are likely to continue in the unstable conditions over the southern interior, central and southeast districts before contracting east and easing to isolated showers on Wednesday. Isolated showers and possible thunderstorms over the eastern tropics. Fine and mostly sunny over western Queensland in the drier conditions west of the surface trough, with maximum temperatures increasing to above average. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Thursday. 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