MELBOURNE - Mar 18/12 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Cyclone Warning is current for coastal and island communities from the Northern Territory/Queensland Border to Cape Keerweer, including Mornington and Sweers Island. A Severe Weather Warning is current for the Herbert and Lower Burdekin, Central Coast and Whitsundays, Capricornia and North Tropical Coast and Tablelands districts. Strong Wind Warning for Eastern Gulf of Carpentaria waters. Strong Wind Warning for coastal waters between Bowen and Point Danger, including Hervey and Moreton Bay. Flood Warnings are current for various rivers and streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A deep tropical low lies on the monsoon trough over far southeast Gulf of Carpentaria. The low is expected to develop further over the southern Gulf and may develop into a tropical cyclone during Monday morning. A high in the Great Australian Bight is expected to move east into the Tasman Sea late today and extend a strong ridge along the southern coast of Queensland. Forecast for the rest of Sunday Rain areas, showers and thunderstorms across the tropics and central coast with moderate to heavy falls. Showers and patchy rain areas elsewhere through central districts and the northwest of the state. The southwest of the state should be fine. Fresh to strong S to SE winds along the southeast and central coasts. Strong winds about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Moderate to fresh SE to NE winds elsewhere, tending NW to NE over the northern tropics. Forecast for Monday Rain areas, showers and thunderstorms will continue about the tropics and central coast with moderate to heavy falls. Showers and areas of patchy rain over the northwest and central districts. Scattered showers about the southeast coast, with more isolated showers over the nearby inland areas. The southern interior and southwest should be fine. Fresh to strong S to SE winds about the southern and central coasts, tending NW to NE over the northern tropics. Forecast for Tuesday The high should lie over New Zealand maintaining a ridge along Queensland's east coast. The associated onshore wind flow will maintain showers about the southeast coast and nearby inland areas, and also over parts of the central interior. The tropical low or cyclone is likely to be over the far northwest of the state with strong to gale force winds continuing in the Gulf. The monsoon trough is likely to lie from the Gulf Country to around the Townsville area. Rain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms with moderate to heavy falls are likely to extend southwards into parts of the Northwest and Central West districts. Moderate to heavy falls are also expected to continue over the tropics and central coast. The southwest and southern interior should be fine. Forecast for Wednesday The forecast becomes uncertain but it is likely that the tropical low will move southeast into the northern interior of the state. Rain areas, showers and thunderstorms with moderate to heavy falls are therefore likely to continue across northern and central areas. The monsoonal flow over the north of state could lead to strong winds about the east coast north of Cardwell as well as the Gulf of Carpentaria. The high near New Zealand should weaken along with the ridge over the southeast of the state with the strong SE winds finally easing about the southern and central east coast. Showers are likely to continue about the southeast but the southwest and southern interior should remain fine. Forecast for Thursday The monsoon low is likely to begin to interact with an upper level trough moving east through central Australia, leading to a change to a southeasterly track through the northwest and central interior of Queensland. Rain areas with moderate to heavy falls are likely to accompany the system in a band from the northwest through the central highlands. Showers and rain areas with a few thunderstorms should continue in the monsoon flow over the northern tropics, while showers and some rain areas should affect most of the east coast and nearby inland. Isolated showers should continue about the far southeast, with fine conditions persisting in the southwest. Outlook for Friday, Saturday and Sunday The forecast for the outlook period remains very uncertain but it is likely that the tropical low will continue to move southeast and move off the central east coast during Friday night or Saturday morning. This is likely shift the area of active weather through central areas on Thursday and possibly into the southeast of the state on Friday before clearing offshore on Saturday. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Monday. 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