MELBOURNE - Mar 9/11 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Severe Weather Warning is current for flash flooding for the tropical coast and adjacent ranges between Gordonvale and Lucinda. A Severe Weather Warning is current for flash flooding for the Gulf of Carpentaria coast south of Weipa. Flood Warnings are current for various rivers across the state. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation An active near stationary monsoon trough extends from the Gulf Country district to the Northeast Tropical Coast district. Another trough extends from a low over the Northern Territory into southeastern Australia. A high over the Tasman Sea extends a weakening ridge along central and southern Queensland coasts. An upper level trough will possibly approach northeastern Queensland on Thursday. Forecast for the rest of Wednesday Rain areas and thunderstorms over the northern tropics and Gulf Country, with some heavy falls, particularly along the Gulf of Carpentaria Coast south of Weipa. Patchy rain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms in the far west and over the southern tropics. Isolated showers over central districts, chiefly northeast of Emerald. Mostly fine in the southeast with only isolated light showers. Fine elsewhere. Light to moderate NW winds over the northern tropics. Moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere, tending N to NE over southwestern Queensland. Forecast for Thursday Rain areas and thunderstorms over the northern tropics and northwest with some heavy falls. Possible localised flash flooding along the Gulf of Carpentaria coast south of Weipa and the northeast tropical coast between about Gordonvale and Lucinda [refer to severe weather warnings]. Patchy rain areas, showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere west of about Winton to Cunnamulla with some moderate falls. Isolated showers over central and southeast districts, chiefly near the coast north of Fraser Island. Light to moderate NW winds over the far northern tropics. Light to moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere. Forecast for Friday The monsoon trough will persist over the Gulf Country district, however a new high entering the Tasman Sea will gradually push it north over the northeast tropical coast. Rain areas and thunderstorms will continue over the northern tropics with some heavy falls, particularly over the Gulf Country and Peninsula districts. A surface trough will lie over the Channel Country, producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over far western parts of the state. An upper level trough moving east over the southern interior will possibly produce isolated showers and thunderstorms over remaining parts of the interior. Scattered showers are expected along the central and Capricorn coasts with possible local thunder. More isolated shower activity is expected over the southeast coast. Forecast for Saturday The monsoon trough will remain anchored over the Gulf Country but continue to move north along the east tropical coast into Cape York Peninsula. Rain and thunderstorms with heavy falls will continue over the Peninsula and Gulf Country districts due to the monsoonal flow. Rain areas and thunderstorms are also likely along the northeast tropical coast with moderate to possibly locally heavy falls. The high in the Tasman Sea will intensify as it moves southeast towards New Zealand. E'ly winds will therefore freshen along the southeast coast with showers increasing and possible local thunder. A deep E to NE flow will result in showers and thunderstorms increasing to thundery rain at times over the central coast and Capricornia districts. Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected over the southern and central interior. Forecast for Sunday A high will move to the southeast of New Zealand while a new high moves east over the Great Australian Bight. The monsoon trough should contract north to extend from the southern Gulf of Carpentaria to northern Cape York Peninsula. A low pressure system may develop on the monsoon trough over the southern Gulf. A weak low may also develop over the northwestern Coral Sea. Rain areas and thunderstorms will continue along the Gulf of Carpentaria coast and over far northern Cape York Peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms are expected elsewhere over the tropics and through central districts in a deep, moist E to NE wind flow. Isolated showers are expected in a weaker E to NE flow over the southeast coast. A weak trough over the Queensland interior will produce isolated showers and thunderstorms elsewhere. Outlook for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday The new high will move east into the Tasman Sea on Monday. The monsoon trough will persist over the Gulf of Carpentaria waters but most likely weaken over the northern Coral Sea due to the ridge building from the south. A deep NE'ly wind flow will maintain rain areas and thunderstorms over northern and central districts, extending into western parts of the state north of Charleville from Tuesday. Isolated showers will continue in the southeast in an onshore wind flow, possibly becoming scattered with some local thunder on Wednesday as an upper trough approaches. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Thursday. 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