MELBOURNE - Feb 19/11 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A flood warning is current for the Georgina River. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A monsoon trough extends from Ex Tropical Cyclone Carlos over northwestern Australia into the Gulf of Carpentaria and Cape York Peninsula and then into the Coral Sea to Tropical Cyclone Atu near Vanuatu. Tropical Cyclone Atu is expected to move south and therefore poses no threat to the Queensland coast. A high south of New Zealand extends a weakening ridge along the southern and central coast of Queensland. A surface trough lies over far southwestern parts of the state and will move slowly east to extend from the northern Channel Country to the southwestern Darling Downs by Sunday evening. Forecast for the rest of Saturday Scattered showers and thunderstorms over much of the northern tropics and through the Northwest District. Isolated showers and possible thunderstorms elsewhere over western districts west of about Longreach to Thargomindah. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the southern tropics, central districts and northern parts of the Wide Bay with thunderstorms occurring chiefly inland. Fine elsewhere apart from very isolated light showers in the southeast. Very warm over southern Queensland with light to moderate N to NE winds. Mostly light to moderate SE to NE winds elsewhere, fresh at times along the southern tropical and central coasts. Forecast for Sunday Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the tropics, the Northwest district and southwestern parts of the state. Mostly fine conditions in the far southeast with just the chance of isolated afternoon showers. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over remaining parts, particularly inland during the afternoon. Warm to hot temperatures over southern Queensland due to N'ly winds ahead of the surface trough. These temperatures combined with humid conditions will result in high heat stress, particularly over the Southeast Coast and Wide Bay and Burnett Districts. Cooler, moderate S'ly winds developing over southwestern parts behind the trough. Light winds elsewhere. Forecast for Monday The surface trough will move a little further north and east over inland Queensland. Hot and humid conditions will persist over southeastern Queensland ahead of a cool S'ly wind change most likely moving into the area during the afternoon or evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over much of the state due to the surface trough over inland parts and the weak monsoon trough to the north. An upper level trough combined with the cool S'ly wind change could enhance shower and thunderstorm activity over southeastern parts of the state in the afternoon and evening hours. Showers and thunderstorms should contract north out of southwestern Queensland during the day with much cooler daytime temperatures expected. Forecast for Tuesday A strong high will move slowly east over the Great Australian Bight, extending a ridge and strong SE'ly winds along the southern coast of Queensland, most likely contracting thunderstorm activity to areas north of about Fraser Island by the afternoon. The SE'ly wind flow will result in much cooler daytime temperatures over southeastern Queensland with showers still likely, particularly near the coast. Fine conditions are expected over southwestern Queensland due to a dry, stable airmass. Showers and thunderstorms are expected over remaining parts of the state, more widespread over central districts near the inland surface trough and also through the far northern tropics due to the weak monsoon trough. Forecast for Wednesday The inland trough will most likely move into far southwestern parts of the state as the high moves towards southeastern Australia and extends a ridge into central and southern districts. Showers and thunderstorms should therefore gradually contract to areas north of about Mackay in the afternoon with possible locally heavy falls with thunderstorms. Strong SE'ly winds will push showers onto the coast and adjacent inland south of Mackay. Fine conditions are expected over the southern interior due to drier winds, apart from the chance of very isolated showers and thunderstorms over far southwestern parts near the inland trough. Outlook for Thursday, Friday and Saturday A weak monsoon trough will most likely remain slow moving over far northern Cape York Peninsula. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should continue over northern districts throughout the outlook period due to the moist, unstable airmass to the south of this trough. The ridge will dominate weather elsewhere over the state, with isolated showers expected near the coast and adjacent inland and fine conditions over the southern interior. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Sunday. Weather & Warnings Australia Warnings Summary External Territories Major Cities Weather Maps Rainfall & River Conditions New South Wales Warnings Summary Forecasts Sydney Forecast NSW Forecast Areas Map Observations Sydney Observations All NSW Observations Rainfall & River Conditions Victoria Warnings Summary Forecasts Melbourne Metro Forecast Vic. Forecast Areas Map Observations Melbourne Observations All Victorian Observations Rainfall & River Conditions Queensland Warnings Summary Forecasts Brisbane Forecast Qld. 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