MELBOURNE - Feb 15/11 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A flood warning is current for Western Queensland Rivers. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation The monsoon trough extends from Tropical Cyclone Carlos near Darwin, over the far northern Cape York Peninsula and links to a weak low in the Coral Sea. A high over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge along the southern and central coast of Queensland. The high moves away to the southeast of New Zealand during Thursday with the ridge along the southern and central coast weakening. A slow moving upper level low will remain over the western Coral Sea whilst a surface trough will remain over the far southwest of the state for the rest of today and during Thursday. Forecast for the rest of Wednesday Scattered showers and thunderstorms with moderate falls will continue over the tropics with scattered showers and thunderstorms also about the far southwest of the state. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms about the east coast and adjacent inland. Mostly fine conditions are expected about the Central West district and southeast interior with only isolated showers and thunderstorms. Light to moderate SE to NE winds, fresh at times along the southern to central coast. Forecast for Thursday Scattered showers and thunderstorms with moderate falls are expected to continue over most of the tropics. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue about the east coast and adjacent inland in the moist onshore flow. The Central West district and southern interior should remain mostly fine with only isolated showers and thunderstorms. Forecast for Friday The weak monsoon trough will extend over Cape York Peninsula to a weak low moving west over the northern Coral Sea. At this stage the low is expected to remain weak, located off the north tropical coast by night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms with moderate falls will continue over most of the tropics. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected along the east coast and adjacent inland, however only isolated showers are likely about southeast districts in the weak onshore flow. Fine conditions are expected about the Central West district and southern interior but isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected over the southwest of the state near the weak surface trough. Forecast for Saturday The weak monsoon trough will extend over Cape York Peninsula, while the low off the north tropical coast will weaken. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue over most of the tropics, extending south along the east coast to about the Wide Bay region. Isolated showers about the southeast coast, with isolated afternoon showers expected over the remaining eastern interior. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will develop over western and southwestern Queensland ahead of a new surface trough entering this region by late in the day. A very warm day is expected over southern Queensland. Forecast for Sunday The surface trough in the southwest of the state will move further northeast into the state as an upper trough crosses southeast Australia. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist about the tropics with the weak monsoon trough persisting about the far north of the state. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will extend along most of the east coast and adjacent inland, but with only isolated showers about the southeast coast. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in the west and southwest of the state in response to the surface trough. Very warm conditions will continue across the south of the state. Outlook for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday Scattered showers and thunderstorms should continue over the tropics with the weak monsoon trough persisting over Cape York Peninsula. On Monday, showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely to develop across most of the state ahead of the upper and surface trough. A strong southerly change is expected to spread over southeast waters during Monday afternoon. The surface trough should then move north across the state on Tuesday and Wednesday contracting the showers and thunderstorms northwards with fine conditions likely to develop across the southern interior. Showers are expected to persist about the southeast coast in the fresh to strong south to southeast winds. The surface trough will also introduce cooler temperatures to the south of the state. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:45 am EST Thursday. 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