MELBOURNE - Feb 10/11 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Severe Weather Warning is current parts of the Peninsula district north of about Coen. Flood warnings are current for the Nicholson and Flinders Rivers and Western Queensland Rivers. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation A high [1030hPa] south of New Zealand extends a ridge along the southern and central coasts of Queensland. A trough lies over the Gulf of Carpentaria just off the west coast of Cape York Peninsula. This trough is expected to move further west over the Gulf of Carpentaria today. Forecast for the rest of Friday Rain areas and thunderstorms over the Peninsula district with some heavy falls, particularly north of Coen [refer to Severe Weather warning]. Showers and thunderstorms along the tropical coast and adjacent inland north of Mackay with moderate to locally heavy falls. Showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere over the tropical interior and northwest. Isolated showers along the Capricorn and southern coasts. Mostly fine elsewhere with only very isolated showers. Light to moderate SE to NE winds, fresh at times along the east coast. Forecast for Saturday The high south of New Zealand will slip further southeast, weakening the ridge along the east coast. A deep, moist E to NE wind flow will maintain rain areas, showers and thunderstorms with possible locally heavy falls over Cape York Peninsula. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue elsewhere over the tropics and through the northwest. Morning drizzle areas and isolated showers will continue over remaining eastern districts. An upper level low will develop over the Coral Sea, increasing instability and showers over the central, Capricorn and Wide Bay coasts at night with possible local thunder. Mostly fine over the central interior with only very isolated showers expected. A trough will enter far southwestern parts at night with possible isolated showers or thunderstorms developing near the southwestern border. Fine elsewhere over the southern interior. Forecast for Sunday A surface trough will persist through southwestern parts of the state while another trough is expected to move north over the New South Wales Coast. Instability will therefore increase over the southern interior with isolated showers and thunderstorms expected, mostly south of Charleville. Isolated showers will continue over the southeast coast, with possible thunderstorms about the southern border ranges. The upper level low will move slowly west over the Coral Sea, increasing instability about the coast and adjacent inland between Mackay and Fraser Island with showers and isolated thunderstorms expected. Showers and isolated thunderstorms should also occur over the tropics, increasing to thundery rain at times over northern Cape York Peninsula. Fine over the Central West and northern Channel Country. Mostly fine elsewhere with only very isolated showers. Forecast for Monday The upper level low will most likely move west towards the Capricorn coast during the day. Showers and isolated thunderstorms should therefore increase to thundery rain areas at night over the Wide Bay and Burnett and Southeast Coast districts in the moist NE'ly flow to the south of the low. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms along remaining parts of the east coast and through Cape York Peninsula. Another upper level trough will move into southwestern Queensland during the day, producing scattered showers and thunderstorms south of about Charleville. Fine conditions are expected over the northwestern Channel Country. Isolated showers and thunderstorms elsewhere. Outlook for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday Some uncertainty exists with the movement of the upper level low but at this stage the most likely scenario is for it to persist off the Capricorn coast on Tuesday before weakening and moving slowly south on Wednesday and Thursday. Thundery rain areas should therefore continue over southeastern parts of the state on Tuesday before easing back to showers from Wednesday. The upper level trough over southwestern Queensland will most likely move slowly east, producing showers and thunderstorms over the southern interior. More isolated showers and thunderstorms should continue elsewhere over the interior. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist over the tropics, with thunderstorms occurring mostly inland. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Friday. 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