MELBOURNE - Feb 1/11 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.
Warning Summary at issue time A Cyclone Warning is current for coastal and island communities from Cape Melville to Sarina, extending inland to west of Georgetown and Charters Towers. A Cyclone Watch is current for coastal areas from Lockhart River to Cape Melville and for the northern tropical interior, including Mt Isa. Coastal waters wind warnings are current for coastal areas between Cape Melville and Gladstone. A flood warning is current for the Balonne River and also for the Conners and Isaac Rivers and nearby streams. For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site www.bom.gov.au/qld Weather Situation The monsoon trough extends from northern Cape York Peninsula to Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi in the Coral Sea. Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi is a large and very dangerous system. Coastal and island communities in the Queensland tropics should start to feel the first effects of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi Wednesday morning or early afternoon with the impacts increasing during the day ahead of the expected coastal crossing on the northeast tropical coast Wednesday night. Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi is then expected to move west southwest over northern inland parts while slowly weakening, reaching northwestern Queensland by Thursday evening. The tropical interior and western districts north of about Blackall could also experience damaging wind gusts and heavy rain during Thursday. A high over the Tasman Sea extends a ridge into southern Queensland. Forecast for the rest of Wednesday Scattered showers and thunderstorms about the Channel Country. Remaining western districts and the southern interior should remain mostly fine under the influence of the ridge with only isolated showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Morning drizzle and isolated afternoon showers continuing over the southeast in a moist NE'ly airflow. Showers and storms should continue over the remainder of the state as the atmosphere remains moist and unstable, increasing to squally rain areas about the tropical coast and adjacent inland during the day as Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi approaches. Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi is expected to cross the northeast tropical coast Wednesday night with very destructive winds and an associated storm surge, causing some coastal inundation [refer to warnings]. Dangerous surf conditions are also expected to develop along the remaining east coast due to increasing NE swells. Forecast for Thursday Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi is expected to track west southwest over inland Queensland and gradually weaken, generating damaging wind gusts and heavy rain areas over the tropical interior and northern parts of the central interior and western districts. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through remaining parts of the central interior and central west. Remaining mostly fine over the southern interior and southeast with only isolated showers expected and possible isolated thunderstorms in the far southwest. Dangerous swells gradually easing about the east coast late in the day. Forecast for Friday The remnants of Cyclone Yasi should move into the Northern Territory, though rain areas and thunderstorms should continue about the Northwest and the Gulf Country in a moist NW to NE airflow. Scattered showers and thunderstorms should continue in the humid NE'ly wind flow over the remaining tropical regions of the state, with at least some moderate to locally heavy falls possible, particularly near the coast. Isolated showers and morning drizzle areas in the southeast. Mostly fine over the southern interior with just the chance of isolated showers. Forecast for Saturday The remnants of Cyclone Yasi should continue moving west over the Northern Territory and merge with a trough moving east over South Australia. Unstable and humid N to NE winds will continue to extend into western parts of Queensland and Cape York Peninsula, generating rain areas and thunderstorms with at least moderate falls likely. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere over the tropics and through central districts. The high in the Tasman Sea will move a little south, dragging a deep, moist NE'ly windflow into southeastern districts with an increase in showers expected. Mostly fine conditions over the southern interior with only isolated showers expected. Outlook for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday A trough moving east over New South Wales combined with a moist NE'ly flow from the tropics should result in unstable conditions and isolated showers and thunderstorms over much of the state on Sunday, more widespread through the tropics and near the western border. Showers and isolated thunderstorms should persist through the tropics and near the western border throughout the outlook period. The trough should move up the northern NSW coast and into southern Queensland during Monday, possibly increasing shower and thunderstorm activity over southeastern parts before most likely contracting north into the Capricornia late Tuesday. The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:10 pm EST Wednesday. 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