STAT Communications Ag Market News

General Increase in U.S. Citrus

WASHINGTON - May 10/02 - STAT -- Total citrus output in the United States could end up being slightly higher than year earlier levels, though some big swings in production levels from last year are clearly evident in data developed by the USDA.

Some the major swings will see lemon output plunge from 26.3 million to 25.2 million boxes, while tangerine output jumpes from 8.35 million to 9.55 million boxes in the United States. The other major change is in grapefruit production, expected to jump from 59.95 million boxes to 60.7 million, while total orange output inches down from 35,000 boxes to 283.4 million.

     Citrus Fruits:  Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
               1999-2000, 2000-2001 and Forecasted May 1, 2002 1/
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                    :     Utilized Production     :     Utilized Production
                    :            Boxes            :       Ton Equivalent
   Crop and State   :-----------------------------------------------------------
                    : 1999-00 : 2000-01 : 2001-02 : 1999-00 : 2000-01 : 2001-02
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    : ------ 1,000 Boxes 2/ -----   ------- 1,000 Tons -------
Oranges             :
  Early Mid &       :
   Navel 3/         :
    AZ 4/           :     600       480       300       22        18        11
    CA 4/           :  40,000    36,000    32,000    1,500     1,350     1,200
    FL              : 134,000   128,000   128,000    6,030     5,760     5,760
    TX 4/           :   1,460     2,000     1,550       62        85        66
    US              : 176,060   166,480   161,850    7,614     7,213     7,037
  Valencia          :
    AZ 4/           :     500       420       350       19        16        13
    CA 4/           :  24,000    21,000    23,000      900       787       863
    FL              :  99,000    95,300    98,000    4,455     4,289     4,410
    TX 4/           :     200       235       200        9        10         9
    US              : 123,700   116,955   121,550    5,383     5,102     5,295
   All              :
    AZ 4/           :   1,100       900       650       41        34        24
    CA 4/           :  64,000    57,000    55,000    2,400     2,137     2,063
    FL              : 233,000   223,300   226,000   10,485    10,049    10,170
    TX 4/           :   1,660     2,235     1,750       71        95        75
    US              : 299,760   283,435   283,400   12,997    12,315    12,332
Temples             :
  FL                :   1,950     1,250     1,550       88        56        70
Grapefruit          :
  White Seedless 5/ :
    FL              :  20,900    18,700    19,000      888       795       808
  Colored Seedless  :
    FL              :  31,900    27,300    28,000    1,356     1,160     1,190
  Other 5/          :
    FL              :     600                           25
  All               :
    AZ 4/           :     450       250       200       15         8         7
    CA 4/           :   7,200     6,500     6,400      241       218       214
    FL              :  53,400    46,000    47,000    2,269     1,955     1,998
    TX 4/           :   5,930     7,200     7,100      237       288       284
    US              :  66,980    59,950    60,700    2,762     2,469     2,503
Tangerines          :
  AZ 4/ 6/          :     850       650       650       32        24        24
  CA 4/ 6/          :   2,500     2,100     2,300       94        79        86
  FL                :   7,000     5,600     6,600      332       266       314
  US                :  10,350     8,350     9,550      458       369       424
Lemons 4/           :
  AZ                :   3,100     3,600     3,100      118       137       118
  CA                :  19,000    22,700    22,000      722       863       836
  US                :  22,100    26,300    25,100      840     1,000       954
Tangelos            :
  FL                :   2,200     2,100     2,150       99        95        97
K-Early Citrus      :
  FL                :     110        40        30        5         2         1
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1/  The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
    the completion of harvest the following year.
2/  Net lbs. per box:  oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ &
    CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early Citrus & Temples-90;
    tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95.
3/  Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel)
    and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of tangerines in TX.
4/  Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
5/  "Other" seedy grapefruit estimates discontinued after 1999-2000 crop.
    Included with white seedless beginning with the 2000-01 crop.
6/  Includes tangelos and tangors.

The 2001-02 U.S. grapefruit crop continues at 2.50 million tons, the same as the April 1 forecast but 1% higher than last season's final utilization. The Florida grapefruit forecast is 47.0 million boxes (2.00 million tons), the same as last month but 2% above the previous season. The all white grapefruit forecast remains at 19.0 million boxes (808,000 tons), unchanged from April but 2% more than last season.

As of May 1, more than 90% of the fruit has been harvested, very close to the 10-season average. The colored seedless utilization is forecast at 28.0 million boxes (1.19 million tons), the same as the April 1 forecast but 3% more than a season ago. As of May 1, more than 80% of the colored grapefruit has been harvested, 4%age points less than the 10-season average. Arizona, California, and Texas grapefruit forecasts are carried forward from the April forecasts.

The U.S. tangerine forecast for May 1 is unchanged at 424,000 tons. If realized, it will be 15% higher than last season's utilization of 369,000 tons. Florida's tangerine forecast is maintained at 6.60 million boxes (314,000 tons), the same as last month but 18% higher than last season. Harvest of the late season Honey variety is winding down with a limited volume of late bloom fruit available for harvest during the next few weeks. Arizona and California tangerine forecasts are carried forward from the April forecasts.

Florida's 2001-02 tangelo forecast remains at 2.15 million boxes (97,000 tons), the same as the April 1 forecast. This amount is 2% above what was utilized last season, which was the smallest crop since the 1968-69 season. The latest Row Count Survey shows close to 15% of the rows remain unharvested.

Florida's 2001-02 Temple forecast is 1.55 million boxes (70,000 tons), up 3% from the previous forecast. The increase was based on recent weekly processed certification of later bloom fruit. If realized, the forecast will be 24% higher than the record low 1.25 million boxes (56,000 tons) utilized last season.

The K-Early Citrus Fruit forecast for 2001-02 remains at 30,000 boxes (1,350 tons), unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 10,000 boxes fewer than last season. This is the smallest crop of record.

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