STAT Communications Ag Market News

Record U.S. Canola Harvest

WASHINGTON - Oct 12/22 - SNS -- The first production forecast for 2022 is a record high 3.95 billion pounds, up 45% from the 2021 revised production of 2.72 billion pounds, according to the USDA.

Production in both North Dakota and Washington will be the highest on record, if realized.

Area planted for the Nation, at a record high 2.21 million acres, is up 13% from the June estimate and up 3% from last year's area. Canola farmers expect to harvest a record high 2.16 million acres, up 13% from June and up 3% from 2021. Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data.

The October yield forecast, at 1,826 pounds per acre, is 524 pounds above last year's yield and will represent the third highest average yield on record for the Nation, if realized. Compared with last year, yields are forecast to be up in 4 of the 6 major canola-producing States. The average yield forecast in Washington is up 680 pounds per acre from last year's average yield. In contrast, the average yield forecast in Oklahoma is down 850 pounds per acre from last year. Compared with 2021, the average yield in Kansas is down 660 pounds per acre and will be the lowest on record in that State since the published data series began, if realized.

The yield in North Dakota, the largest canola-producing State, is forecast at 1,920 pounds per acre, up 580 pounds from last year's yield. Planted area in North Dakota is estimated at a record high 1.80 million acres, up 3% from last year.


Canola Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2021 and 2022
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2021       :      2022       :      2021       :     2022 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Kansas ...........:         7.0               9.0               6.5               7.0
Minnesota ........:        63.0              70.0              61.5              68.0
Montana ..........:       185.0             180.0             161.0             168.0
North Dakota .....:     1,750.0           1,800.0           1,720.0           1,780.0
Oklahoma .........:        12.0              18.0              10.0               8.0
Washington .......:       135.0             135.0             130.0             130.0
                  :
United States ....:     2,152.0           2,212.0           2,089.0           2,161.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2021 and
Forecasted October 1, 2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :      Production
              :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2021    :   2022    :   2021    :   2022    :   2021    :   2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  --- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 pounds ---
              :
Kansas .......:      6.5         7.0      1,200         540         7,800       3,780
Minnesota ....:     61.5        68.0      1,700       1,880       104,550     127,840
Montana ......:    161.0       168.0        900         950       144,900     159,600
North Dakota .:  1,720.0     1,780.0      1,340       1,920     2,304,800   3,417,600
Oklahoma .....:     10.0         8.0      1,550         700        15,500       5,600
Washington ...:    130.0       130.0      1,100       1,780       143,000     231,400
              :
United States :  2,089.0     2,161.0      1,302       1,826     2,720,550   3,945,820
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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