STAT Communications Ag Market News

USDA Lowers Rice Harvest Forecast

WASHINGTON - Sep 12/22 - SNS -- U.S. rice production is forecast at 165 million cwt (100 pounds units), down 6% from the previous forecast and down 14% from 2021, according to the USDA's latest production forecast.

Based on a thorough review of all available data, planted area is now estimated at 2.22 million acres, down 5% from the previous estimate and down 12% from the previous year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2,177 million acres, down 6% from the previous forecast and down 13% from 2021.

Based on conditions as of September 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,586 pounds per acre, down 41 pounds per acre from the previous forecast and down 123 pounds per acre from 2021.

Rice Area Planted and Harvested by Class - States and United States: 2021 and 2022
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :         Area planted          :        Area harvested
  Class and State :---------------------------------------------------------------
                  :     2021      :     2022      :     2021      :    2022 1/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                          1,000 acres
                  :
Long grain        :
Arkansas .........:     1,095           1,000           1,085             990
California .......:         7               7               7               7
Louisiana ........:       380             370             375             366
Mississippi ......:       105              85             100              84
Missouri .........:       195             150             190             146
Texas ............:       188             190             179             185
                  :
United States ....:     1,970           1,802           1,936           1,778
                  :
Medium grain      :
Arkansas .........:       115             105             108              92
California .......:       365             220             363             218
Louisiana ........:        40              55              39              50
Mississippi ......:         -               -               -               -
Missouri .........:         4               5               4               3
Texas ............:         2               5               2               5
                  :
United States ....:       526             390             516             368
                  :
Short grain 2/    :
Arkansas .........:         1               1               1               1
California .......:        35              30              35              30
                  :
United States ....:        36              31              36              31
                  :
All               :
Arkansas .........:     1,211           1,106           1,194           1,083
California .......:       407             257             405             255
Louisiana ........:       420             425             414             416
Mississippi ......:       105              85             100              84
Missouri .........:       199             155             194             149
Texas ............:       190             195             181             190
                  :
United States ....:     2,532           2,223           2,488           2,177
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-  Represents zero.
1/ Forecasted.
2/ Includes sweet rice.
Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2021 and Forecasted
September 1, 2022
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2022           :          :
              :   2021   :   2022   :    2021    :-------------------------:   2021   :   2022
              :          :          :            :  August 1  :September 1 :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,194      1,083       7,630        7,550        7,500       91,136     81,225
California ...:    405        255       9,050        9,000        8,900       36,653     22,695
Louisiana ....:    414        416       6,870        6,750        6,700       28,447     27,872
Mississippi ..:    100         84       7,540        7,450        7,450        7,540      6,258
Missouri .....:    194        149       8,040        7,800        7,600       15,599     11,324
Texas ........:    181        190       6,860        8,000        8,300       12,421     15,770
              :
United States :  2,488      2,177       7,709        7,627        7,586      191,796    165,144
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2021 and Forecasted September 1, 2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2021 .......:    144,639           44,494           2,663           191,796
2022 2/ ....:    132,296           30,675           2,173           165,144
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2022 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

Only active subscribers can read all of this article.

If you are a subscriber, please log into the website.

If you are not a subscriber, click here to subscribe to this edition of the STAT website and to learn more about becoming a subscriber.