STAT Communications Ag Market News

USDA Boosts Cotton Area

WASHINGTON - Sep 12/22 - SNS -- All cotton production is forecast at 13.8 million 480-pound bales, up 10% from the previous forecast but down 21% from 2021, according to the USDA's latest production forecast.

Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 843 pounds per harvested acre, down 3 pounds from the previous forecast but up 24 pounds from 2021.

Upland cotton production is forecast at 13.4 million 480-pound bales, up 10 percent from the previous forecast but down 22 percent from 2021. Pima cotton production is forecast at 460,000 bales, up 13 percent from the previous forecast and up 39 percent from 2021.

Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data. Area planted to Upland cotton is estimated at 13.6 million acres, up 11% from the previous estimate and up 23% from 2021. Upland harvested area for the Nation is expected to total 7.71 million acres, up 11% from the previous forecast but down 24% from last year.

Pima cotton planted area is estimated at 169,000 acres, up 8% from the previous forecast and up 34% from 2021. Expected Pima harvested area at 164,500 acres is up 8% from the previous estimate and up 33% from last year. If realized, Upland harvested area for Texas will be the lowest on record.

Ginnings totaled 507,200 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 199,750 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cotton Area Planted and Harvested by Type - States and United States: 2021 and 2022
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2021       :      2022       :      2021       :     2022 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Upland            :
Alabama ..........:       405.0             430.0             401.0             425.0
Arizona ..........:       120.0              90.0             119.0              89.0
Arkansas .........:       480.0             640.0             475.0             630.0
California .......:        26.0              30.0              25.5              29.5
Florida ..........:        92.0             106.0              90.0             104.0
Georgia ..........:     1,170.0           1,290.0           1,160.0           1,280.0
Kansas ...........:       110.0             165.0             102.0             152.0
Louisiana ........:       110.0             190.0             104.0             185.0
Mississippi ......:       445.0             530.0             430.0             525.0
Missouri .........:       315.0             360.0             310.0             300.0
                  :
New Mexico .......:        36.0              66.0              26.0              48.0
North Carolina ...:       375.0             470.0             365.0             455.0
Oklahoma .........:       495.0             660.0             440.0             310.0
South Carolina ...:       210.0             270.0             207.0             265.0
Tennessee ........:       275.0             335.0             270.0             325.0
Texas ............:     6,350.0           7,900.0           5,550.0           2,500.0
Virginia .........:        75.0              90.0              74.0              89.0
                  :
United States ....:    11,089.0          13,622.0          10,148.5           7,711.5
                  :
American Pima     :
Arizona ..........:         9.0              15.0               8.8              15.0
California .......:        88.0             102.0              87.0             101.0
New Mexico .......:        12.5              19.0              12.0              18.5
Texas ............:        17.0              33.0              16.0              30.0
                  :
United States ....:       126.5             169.0             123.8             164.5
                  :
All               :
Alabama ..........:       405.0             430.0             401.0             425.0
Arizona ..........:       129.0             105.0             127.8             104.0
Arkansas .........:       480.0             640.0             475.0             630.0
California .......:       114.0             132.0             112.5             130.5
Florida ..........:        92.0             106.0              90.0             104.0
Georgia ..........:     1,170.0           1,290.0           1,160.0           1,280.0
Kansas ...........:       110.0             165.0             102.0             152.0
Louisiana ........:       110.0             190.0             104.0             185.0
Mississippi ......:       445.0             530.0             430.0             525.0
Missouri .........:       315.0             360.0             310.0             300.0
                  :
New Mexico .......:        48.5              85.0              38.0              66.5
North Carolina ...:       375.0             470.0             365.0             455.0
Oklahoma .........:       495.0             660.0             440.0             310.0
South Carolina ...:       210.0             270.0             207.0             265.0
Tennessee ........:       275.0             335.0             270.0             325.0
Texas ............:     6,367.0           7,933.0           5,566.0           2,530.0
Virginia .........:        75.0              90.0              74.0              89.0
                  :
United States ....:    11,215.5          13,791.0          10,272.3           7,876.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2021 and
Forecasted September 1, 2022
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2022          :          :
                 :  2021   :  2022   :  2021  :-----------------------:   2021   :   2022
                 :         :         :        : August 1  :September 1:          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :--- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   401.0     425.0     826        851         836        690.0      740.0
Arizona .........:   119.0      89.0   1,275      1,280       1,294        316.0      240.0
Arkansas ........:   475.0     630.0   1,248      1,195       1,219      1,235.0    1,600.0
California ......:    25.5      29.5   1,920      1,708       1,627        102.0      100.0
Florida .........:    90.0     104.0     640        800         808        120.0      175.0
Georgia .........: 1,160.0   1,280.0     914        928         900      2,210.0    2,400.0
Kansas ..........:   102.0     152.0     880        680         726        187.0      230.0
Louisiana .......:   104.0     185.0   1,011        960         830        219.0      320.0
Mississippi .....:   430.0     525.0     997      1,029       1,006        893.0    1,100.0
Missouri ........:   310.0     300.0   1,260        975       1,152        814.0      720.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    26.0      48.0   1,108        709       1,050         60.0      105.0
North Carolina ..:   365.0     455.0   1,017        871         918        773.0      870.0
Oklahoma ........:   440.0     310.0     756        498         387        693.0      250.0
South Carolina ..:   207.0     265.0     986        894         897        425.0      495.0
Tennessee .......:   270.0     325.0   1,036        869         938        583.0      635.0
Texas ...........: 5,550.0   2,500.0     666        633         614      7,700.0    3,200.0
Virginia ........:    74.0      89.0   1,109      1,045       1,036        171.0      192.0
                 :
United States ...:10,148.5   7,711.5     813        837         832     17,191.0   13,372.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:     8.8      15.0     982      1,008         960         18.0       30.0
California ......:    87.0     101.0   1,501      1,506       1,663        272.0      350.0
New Mexico ......:    12.0      18.5     640        934         908         16.0       35.0
Texas ...........:    16.0      30.0     780        816         720         26.0       45.0
                 :
United States ...:   123.8     164.5   1,287      1,281       1,342        332.0      460.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   401.0     425.0     826        851         836        690.0      740.0
Arizona .........:   127.8     104.0   1,254      1,226       1,246        334.0      270.0
Arkansas ........:   475.0     630.0   1,248      1,195       1,219      1,235.0    1,600.0
California ......:   112.5     130.5   1,596      1,555       1,655        374.0      450.0
Florida .........:    90.0     104.0     640        800         808        120.0      175.0
Georgia .........: 1,160.0   1,280.0     914        928         900      2,210.0    2,400.0
Kansas ..........:   102.0     152.0     880        680         726        187.0      230.0
Louisiana .......:   104.0     185.0   1,011        960         830        219.0      320.0
Mississippi .....:   430.0     525.0     997      1,029       1,006        893.0    1,100.0
Missouri ........:   310.0     300.0   1,260        975       1,152        814.0      720.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    38.0      66.5     960        776       1,011         76.0      140.0
North Carolina ..:   365.0     455.0   1,017        871         918        773.0      870.0
Oklahoma ........:   440.0     310.0     756        498         387        693.0      250.0
South Carolina ..:   207.0     265.0     986        894         897        425.0      495.0
Tennessee .......:   270.0     325.0   1,036        869         938        583.0      635.0
Texas ...........: 5,566.0   2,530.0     666        634         616      7,726.0    3,245.0
Virginia ........:    74.0      89.0   1,109      1,045       1,036        171.0      192.0
                 :
United States ...:10,272.3   7,876.0     819        846         843     17,523.0   13,832.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2021 and Forecasted September 1, 2022
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2021             :           2022 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,323.0                       4,204.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Only active subscribers can read all of this article.

If you are a subscriber, please log into the website.

If you are not a subscriber, click here to subscribe to this edition of the STAT website and to learn more about becoming a subscriber.