Orange Output Drifts Lower

WASHINGTON - Jul 12/22 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2021-2022 season is 3.81 million tons, down 2% from the previous forecast and down 13% from the 2020-2021 final utilization, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 41.0 million boxes (1.84 million tons), is up 1% from the previous forecast but down 23% from last season's final utilization.

In Florida, early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 18.3 million boxes (821,000 tons), up slightly from the previous forecast but down 20% from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 22.7 million boxes (1.02 million tons), is up 1% from the previous forecast but down 25% from last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 49.0 million boxes (1.96 million tons), is down 4% from previous forecast but unchanged from last season's final utilization.

The California Navel orange forecast is 40.0 million boxes (1.60 million tons), down 7% from the previous forecast and down 3% from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 9.00 million boxes (360,000 tons), up 8% from the previous forecast and up 17% from last season's final utilization.

The Texas all orange forecast, at 200,000 boxes (8,000 tons), is down 43% from the previous forecast and down 81% from last season's final utilization.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2020-2021 and
Forecasted July 1, 2022
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of
harvest the following year]
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                            :   Utilized production boxes 1/    :Utilized production ton equivalent
       Crop and State       :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :    2020-2021    :    2021-2022    :    2020-2021    :    2021-2022
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :     ------ 1,000 boxes -----             ------ 1,000 tons -----
Oranges                     :
California, all ............:      49,000           49,000             1,960             1,960
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      41,300           40,000             1,652             1,600
 Valencia ..................:       7,700            9,000               308               360
                            :
Florida, all ...............:      52,950           40,950             2,383             1,843
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      22,700           18,250             1,022               821
 Valencia ..................:      30,250           22,700             1,361             1,022
                            :
Texas, all .................:       1,050              200                45                 8
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:       1,000              170                43                 7
 Valencia ..................:          50               30                 2                 1
                            :
United States, all .........:     103,000           90,150             4,388             3,811
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      65,000           58,420             2,717             2,428
 Valencia ..................:      38,000           31,730             1,671             1,383
                            :
Grapefruit                  :
California .................:       4,200            4,000               168               160
Florida ....................:       4,100            3,330               174               142
Texas ......................:       2,400            1,700                96                68
                            :
United States ..............:      10,700            9,030               438               370
                            :
Tangerines and mandarins 3/ :
California .................:      28,800           20,000             1,152               800
Florida ....................:         890              750                42                36
                            :
United States ..............:      29,690           20,750             1,194               836
                            :
Lemons                      :
Arizona ....................:         750            1,300                30                52
California .................:      20,100           23,000               804               920
                            :
United States ..............:      20,850           24,300               834               972
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1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties
   in Florida and Texas.
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.