Modest Improvement In Winter Wheat Yields
WASHINGTON - Jun 10/22 - SNS -- Winter wheat production in the United States is expected to reach 1.18 billion bushels, up 1% from the May 1 forecast, but down 7% from 2021, according to the USDA.
Hard Red Winter production, at 582 million bushels, is down 1% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 358 million bushels, is up 1% from the May forecast. White Winter, at 242 million bushels, is up 5% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 15.6 million bushels are Hard White and 226 million bushels are Soft White.
As of June 1, the United States yield is forecast at 48.2 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushel from last month but down 2.0 bushels from last year's average yield of 50.2 bushels per acre. Producers in Missouri and Tennessee are expecting record yields. As of May 29, 29% of the winter wheat acreage in the 18 major producing States was rated in good to excellent condition, 19%age points lower than at the same time last year. Nationally, 72% of the winter wheat crop was headed by May 29, four percentage points behind the 5-year average pace.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year's final head count in Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas, but are above last year's in Montana and Nebraska. As of May 29, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas winter wheat was rated in good to excellent condition at 28%, 8%, and 5%, respectively. In Texas, winter wheat harvest was 22% complete, 1%age point behind the 5-year average pace.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are all below last year's final head count. As of May 29, Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio winter wheat was rated 60%, 69%, and 55%, in good to excellent condition, respectively.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are above last year's final head count. As of May 29, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington winter wheat crop was rated in good to excellent condition at 61%, 67%, and 62%, respectively.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2021 and Forecasted June 1, 2022 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2022 : : : 2021 : 2022 : 2021 :-------------------: 2021 : 2022 : : : : May 1 : June 1 : : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Arkansas .......: 145 160 58.0 55.0 57.0 8,410 9,120 California .....: 80 80 82.0 59.0 73.0 6,560 5,840 Colorado .......: 1,880 1,600 37.0 31.0 28.0 69,560 44,800 Idaho ..........: 640 730 71.0 91.0 94.0 45,440 68,620 Illinois .......: 610 660 79.0 75.0 78.0 48,190 51,480 Indiana ........: 270 240 85.0 76.0 78.0 22,950 18,720 Kansas .........: 7,000 6,950 52.0 39.0 39.0 364,000 271,050 Kentucky .......: 350 365 87.0 80.0 79.0 30,450 28,835 Maryland .......: 160 140 79.0 75.0 78.0 12,640 10,920 Michigan .......: 560 425 81.0 79.0 79.0 45,360 33,575 : Mississippi ....: 70 75 59.0 51.0 53.0 4,130 3,975 Missouri .......: 490 620 65.0 67.0 71.0 31,850 44,020 Montana ........: 1,730 1,900 31.0 39.0 33.0 53,630 62,700 Nebraska .......: 840 900 49.0 41.0 41.0 41,160 36,900 North Carolina .: 345 385 56.0 67.0 65.0 19,320 25,025 North Dakota ...: 60 90 33.0 47.0 47.0 1,980 4,230 Ohio ...........: 515 460 85.0 76.0 76.0 43,775 34,960 Oklahoma .......: 2,950 2,400 39.0 25.0 27.0 115,050 64,800 Oregon .........: 705 720 45.0 61.0 62.0 31,725 44,640 South Dakota ...: 720 720 38.0 45.0 47.0 27,360 33,840 : Tennessee ......: 330 330 71.0 76.0 73.0 23,430 24,090 Texas ..........: 2,000 1,300 37.0 32.0 31.0 74,000 40,300 Virginia .......: 120 150 67.0 63.0 64.0 8,040 9,600 Washington .....: 1,690 1,800 42.0 67.0 73.0 70,980 131,400 Wisconsin ......: 245 220 75.0 70.0 73.0 18,375 16,060 : Other States 1/ : 959 1,079 61.5 57.6 57.6 59,000 62,132 : United States ..: 25,464 24,499 50.2 47.9 48.2 1,277,365 1,181,632 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2022 Summary."
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