STAT Communications Ag Market News

USDA Increases Rice Yield Ideas

WASHINGTON - Nov 8/21 - SNS -- Rice production is forecast at 194 million cwt (100 pound units) in the United States, up 2% from the previous forecast but down 15% from 2020, according to the latest USDA crop report.

Harvested area is expected to total 2.50 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 16% from 2020.

Based on conditions as of November 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,756 pounds per acre, up 131 pounds per acre from the previous forecast and up 137 pounds per acre from 2020. If realized, this will be the highest yield on record for the United States. Record high yields are forecast in Arkansas, California, Mississippi, and Missouri.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted
November 1, 2021
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2021           :          :
              :   2020   :   2021   :    2020    :-------------------------:   2020   :   2021
              :          :          :            : October 1  : November 1 :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,441      1,198       7,500        7,500        7,600      108,107     91,048
California ...:    514        405       8,720        8,900        9,200       44,810     37,260
Louisiana ....:    474        413       6,820        6,900        6,900       32,306     28,497
Mississippi ..:    165        101       7,420        7,400        7,500       12,241      7,575
Missouri .....:    214        194       7,250        8,000        8,100       15,522     15,714
Texas ........:    179        188       8,150        7,000        7,300       14,597     13,724
              :
United States :  2,987      2,499       7,619        7,625        7,756      227,583    193,818
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2020 and Forecasted November 1, 2021
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2020 .......:    170,853           53,920           2,810           227,583
2021 2/ ....:    146,731           44,492           2,595           193,818
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2021 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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