STAT Communications Ag Market News

Smallest U.S. Canola Criop Since 2013

WASHINGTON - Oct 12/21 - SNS -- Canola production in the United States is expected to reach 2.35 billion pounds, down 32% from the 2020 revised production of 3.45 billion pounds, according to the latest USDA production estimates for 2021.

Area planted for the Nation, at a record high 2.15 million acres, is up 7% from the June estimate and up 18% from last year's area. Canola farmers expect to harvest a record high 2.10 million acres, up 8% from June and up 18% from 2020.

Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data. The October yield forecast, at 1,119 pounds per acre, is 812 pounds below last year's yield and will represent the lowest average yield on record for the Nation, if realized.

Compared with last year, yields are forecast to be down more than 700 pounds per acre in 4 of the 6 major canola-producing States. In contrast, the yield forecast in Oklahoma will be the highest on record since the published data series began in that State, if realized.

Canola Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2020 and 2021
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2020       :      2021       :      2020       :     2021 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Kansas ...........:         5.0               7.0               2.8               6.5
Minnesota ........:        50.0              63.0              48.0              61.0
Montana ..........:       155.0             185.0             149.0             176.0
North Dakota .....:     1,510.0           1,750.0           1,490.0           1,720.0
Oklahoma .........:        11.0              12.0               7.0              10.0
Washington .......:        93.0             135.0              91.0             131.0
                  :
United States ....:     1,824.0           2,152.0           1,787.8           2,104.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2020 and
Forecasted October 1, 2021
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :      Production
              :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2020    :   2021    :   2020    :   2021    :   2020    :   2021
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  --- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 pounds ---
              :
Kansas .......:      2.8         6.5      1,790       1,000         5,012       6,500
Minnesota ....:     48.0        61.0      1,570       1,740        75,360     106,140
Montana ......:    149.0       176.0      1,620         900       241,380     158,400
North Dakota .:  1,490.0     1,720.0      1,960       1,100     2,920,400   1,892,000
Oklahoma .....:      7.0        10.0      1,530       1,550        10,710      15,500
Washington ...:     91.0       131.0      2,200       1,340       200,200     175,540
              :
United States :  1,787.8     2,104.5      1,931       1,119     3,453,062   2,354,080
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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