STAT Communications Ag Market News

Cotton Remains Up Over 2020

WASHINGTON - Oct 12/21 - SNS -- All cotton production in the United States is forecast at 18.0 million 480-pound bales, down 3% from the previous forecast, but up 23% from 2020, according to the latest USDA production estimates for 2021.

Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 871 pounds per harvested acre, down 24 pounds from the previous forecast but up 24 pounds from 2020.

Upland cotton production is forecast at 17.7 million 480-pound bales, down 3% from the previous forecast but up 26% from 2020. Upland harvested area for the Nation is expected to total 9.80 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but up 21% from last year

Pima cotton production is forecast at 353,000 bales, up 5% from the previous forecast but down 35% from 2020. All cotton area harvested is forecast at 9.92 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast, but up 20% from 2020. Expected Pima harvested area, at 122,200 acres, is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 37% from last year.

Ginnings totaled 740,550 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 915,450 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2020 and
Forecasted October 1, 2021
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2021          :          :
                 :  2020   :  2021   :  2020  :-----------------------:   2020   :   2021
                 :         :         :        :September 1: October 1 :          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : -- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   446.0     400.0     790        924         906        734.0      755.0
Arizona .........:   123.0     119.0   1,179      1,250       1,258        302.0      312.0
Arkansas ........:   520.0     470.0   1,179      1,174       1,226      1,277.0    1,200.0
California ......:    33.5      24.5   2,006      1,900       1,900        140.0       97.0
Florida .........:    93.0      89.0     532        809         782        103.0      145.0
Georgia .........: 1,180.0   1,160.0     887        910         931      2,180.0    2,250.0
Kansas ..........:   184.0     101.0     783      1,069         998        300.0      210.0
Louisiana .......:   165.0     105.0     986      1,097       1,006        339.0      220.0
Mississippi .....:   525.0     430.0   1,079      1,150       1,150      1,180.0    1,030.0
Missouri ........:   287.0     310.0   1,144      1,316       1,285        684.0      830.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    26.0      28.0   1,052        977         977         57.0       57.0
North Carolina ..:   330.0     350.0     759        809         864        522.0      630.0
Oklahoma ........:   435.0     415.0     702        856         879        636.0      760.0
South Carolina ..:   179.0     205.0     802        948         925        299.0      395.0
Tennessee .......:   275.0     270.0   1,066      1,049       1,067        611.0      600.0
Texas ...........: 3,200.0   5,250.0     686        786         731      4,570.0    8,000.0
Virginia ........:    79.0      73.0     772      1,118       1,052        127.0      160.0
                 :
United States ...: 8,080.5   9,799.5     835        890         865     14,061.0   17,651.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:     6.5       9.0   1,034        853         853         14.0       16.0
California ......:   146.0      85.0   1,562      1,519       1,609        475.0      285.0
New Mexico ......:    10.5      12.2     663        787         787         14.5       20.0
Texas ...........:    31.0      16.0     666        900         960         43.0       32.0
                 :
United States ...:   194.0     122.2   1,352      1,316       1,387        546.5      353.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   446.0     400.0     790        924         906        734.0      755.0
Arizona .........:   129.5     128.0   1,171      1,223       1,230        316.0      328.0
Arkansas ........:   520.0     470.0   1,179      1,174       1,226      1,277.0    1,200.0
California ......:   179.5     109.5   1,645      1,604       1,675        615.0      382.0
Florida .........:    93.0      89.0     532        809         782        103.0      145.0
Georgia .........: 1,180.0   1,160.0     887        910         931      2,180.0    2,250.0
Kansas ..........:   184.0     101.0     783      1,069         998        300.0      210.0
Louisiana .......:   165.0     105.0     986      1,097       1,006        339.0      220.0
Mississippi .....:   525.0     430.0   1,079      1,150       1,150      1,180.0    1,030.0
Missouri ........:   287.0     310.0   1,144      1,316       1,285        684.0      830.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    36.5      40.2     940        919         919         71.5       77.0
North Carolina ..:   330.0     350.0     759        809         864        522.0      630.0
Oklahoma ........:   435.0     415.0     702        856         879        636.0      760.0
South Carolina ..:   179.0     205.0     802        948         925        299.0      395.0
Tennessee .......:   275.0     270.0   1,066      1,049       1,067        611.0      600.0
Texas ...........: 3,231.0   5,266.0     685        787         732      4,613.0    8,032.0
Virginia ........:    79.0      73.0     772      1,118       1,052        127.0      160.0
                 :
United States ...: 8,274.5   9,921.7     847        895         871     14,607.5   18,004.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2020 and Forecasted October 1, 2021
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2020             :           2021 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           4,509.0                       5,491.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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