STAT Communications Ag Market News

Rice Area Revised Lower

WASHINGTON - Sep 10/21 - SNS - Rice production in the United States is forecast at 190 million cwt, down 3% from the previous forecast and down 16% from 2020, according to the latest USDA production estimates.

Based on a thorough review of all available data, planted area is now estimated at 2.54 million acres, down 5% from the previous estimate and down 16% from the previous year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.50 million acres, down 4% from the previous forecast and down 16% from 2020.

Based on conditions as of September 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,623 pounds per acre, up 79 pounds per acre from the previous forecast and up 4 pounds per acre from 2020. A record high yield is forecast in Missouri.

Rice Area Planted and Harvested by Class - States and United States: 2020 and 2021
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :         Area planted          :        Area harvested
  Class and State :---------------------------------------------------------------
                  :     2020      :     2021      :     2020      :    2021 1/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                          1,000 acres
                  :
Long grain        :
Arkansas .........:     1,325           1,095           1,315           1,085
California .......:        12               7              12               7
Louisiana ........:       430             380             425             374
Mississippi ......:       165             105             164             101
Missouri .........:       220             195             210             190
Texas ............:       180             190             176             185
                  :
United States ....:     2,332           1,972           2,302           1,942
                  :
Medium grain      :
Arkansas .........:       135             120             125             112
California .......:       465             365             462             363
Louisiana ........:        50              40              49              39
Mississippi ......:         1               -               1               -
Missouri .........:         8               4               4               4
Texas ............:         4               4               3               3
                  :
United States ....:       663             533             644             521
                  :
Short grain 2/    :
Arkansas .........:         1               1               1               1
California .......:        40              35              40              35
                  :
United States ....:        41              36              41              36
                  :
All               :
Arkansas .........:     1,461           1,216           1,441           1,198
California .......:       517             407             514             405
Louisiana ........:       480             420             474             413
Mississippi ......:       166             105             165             101
Missouri .........:       228             199             214             194
Texas ............:       184             194             179             188
                  :
United States ....:     3,036           2,541           2,987           2,499
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-  Represents zero.
1/ Forecasted.
2/ Includes sweet rice.
Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2020 and Forecasted
September 1, 2021
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2021           :          :
              :   2020   :   2021   :    2020    :-------------------------:   2020   :   2021
              :          :          :            :  August 1  :September 1 :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,441      1,198       7,500        7,500        7,500      108,107     89,850
California ...:    514        405       8,720        8,700        8,800       44,810     35,640
Louisiana ....:    474        413       6,820        6,800        6,850       32,306     28,291
Mississippi ..:    165        101       7,420        7,350        7,400       12,241      7,474
Missouri .....:    214        194       7,250        7,700        8,000       15,522     15,520
Texas ........:    179        188       8,150        7,000        7,300       14,597     13,724
              :
United States :  2,987      2,499       7,619        7,544        7,623      227,583    190,499
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2020 and Forecasted September 1, 2021
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2020 .......:    170,853           53,920           2,810           227,583
2021 2/ ....:    144,218           43,730           2,551           190,499
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2021 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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