STAT Communications Ag Market News

Winter Wheat Harvest Improves

WASHINGTON - Jul 12/21 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.36 billion bushels, up 4% from the June 1 forecast and up 16% from 2020, according to the USDA.

As of July 1, the United States yield is forecast at 53.6 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushel from last month and up 2.7 bushels from last year's average yield of 50.9 bushels per acre. Area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 25.4 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2021, but up 11% from last year.

Hard Red Winter production, at 805 million bushels, is up 4% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 362 million bushels, is up 8% from the June forecast. White Winter, at 198 million bushels, is down 2% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 16.4 million bushels are Hard White and 181 million bushels are Soft White.

Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2020 and
Forecasted July 1, 2021
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :  Area harvested   :       Yield per acre       :      Production
                :------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State     :         :         :        :       2021        :           :
                :  2020   :  2021   :  2020  :-------------------:   2020    :   2021
                :         :         :        : June 1  : July 1  :           :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :    1,000 acres      -------- bushels -------     --- 1,000 bushels ---
                :
Arkansas .......:     75       155     55.0     51.0      51.0         4,125       7,905
California .....:     80        60     75.0     77.0      80.0         6,000       4,800
Colorado .......:  1,520     1,850     27.0     39.0      41.0        41,040      75,850
Idaho ..........:    660       670    101.0     87.0      85.0        66,660      56,950
Illinois .......:    520       650     68.0     75.0      80.0        35,360      52,000
Indiana ........:    250       300     70.0     76.0      81.0        17,500      24,300
Kansas .........:  6,250     6,900     45.0     52.0      55.0       281,250     379,500
Kentucky .......:    340       370     63.0     77.0      86.0        21,420      31,820
Maryland .......:    150       160     73.0     72.0      75.0        10,950      12,000
Michigan .......:    450       570     75.0     80.0      77.0        33,750      43,890
                :
Mississippi ....:     20        65     48.0     52.0      58.0           960       3,770
Missouri .......:    370       500     62.0     70.0      70.0        22,940      35,000
Montana ........:  1,490     1,700     51.0     51.0      42.0        75,990      71,400
Nebraska .......:    830       840     41.0     51.0      50.0        34,030      42,000
North Carolina .:    350       360     60.0     52.0      54.0        21,000      19,440
North Dakota ...:     33        55     49.0     42.0      35.0         1,617       1,925
Ohio ...........:    490       540     71.0     78.0      82.0        34,790      44,280
Oklahoma .......:  2,600     2,700     40.0     39.0      40.0       104,000     108,000
Oregon .........:    725       695     64.0     50.0      48.0        46,400      33,360
South Dakota ...:    600       680     58.0     55.0      44.0        34,800      29,920
                :
Tennessee ......:    230       320     59.0     69.0      74.0        13,570      23,680
Texas ..........:  2,050     2,250     30.0     34.0      37.0        61,500      83,250
Virginia .......:    130       125     60.0     60.0      63.0         7,800       7,875
Washington .....:  1,750     1,690     76.0     57.0      55.0       133,000      92,950
Wisconsin ......:    125       240     69.0     71.0      71.0         8,625      17,040
                :
Other States 1/ :    936       998     55.5     59.6      61.4        51,945      61,300
                :
United States ..: 23,024    25,443     50.9     53.2      53.6     1,171,022   1,364,205
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York,
   Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will
   be published in the "Small Grains 2021 Summary."

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