STAT Communications Ag Market News

Orange Output Dropping 12%

WASHINGTON - Jul 12/21 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2020-2021 season is 4.60 million tons, up 2% the previous forecast but down 12% from the 2019-2020 final utilization, according to the USDA.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 52.8 million boxes (2.38 million tons), is up slightly from the previous forecast but down 22% from last season's final utilization.

In Florida, early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 22.7 million boxes (1.02 million tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 23% from last season's final utilization.

The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 30.1 million boxes (1.35 million tons), is up slightly from the previous forecast but down 20% from last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 54.5 million boxes (2.18 million tons), is up 5% from previous forecast and up 1% from last season's final utilization.

The California Navel orange forecast is 45.0 million boxes (1.80 million tons), is up 7% from the previous forecast and up 4% from last season's final utilization.

The California Valencia orange forecast is 9.50 million boxes (380,000 tons), is down 5% from the previous forecast and down 12% from last season's final utilization.

The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.05 million boxes (45,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast and down 22% from last season's final utilization.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2019-2020 and
Forecasted July 1, 2021
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of
harvest the following year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :   Utilized production boxes 1/    :Utilized production ton equivalent
       Crop and State       :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :    2019-2020    :    2020-2021    :    2019-2020    :    2020-2021
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :     ------ 1,000 boxes ------            ------ 1,000 tons -----
Oranges                     :
California, all ............:      54,100            54,500            2,164             2,180
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      43,300            45,000            1,732             1,800
 Valencia ..................:      10,800             9,500              432               380
                            :
Florida, all ...............:      67,400            52,800            3,033             2,377
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      29,650            22,700            1,334             1,022
 Valencia ..................:      37,750            30,100            1,699             1,355
                            :
Texas, all .................:       1,340             1,050               57                45
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:       1,150             1,000               49                43
 Valencia ..................:         190                50                8                 2
                            :
United States, all .........:     122,840           108,350            5,254             4,602
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      74,100            68,700            3,115             2,865
 Valencia ..................:      48,740            39,650            2,139             1,737
                            :
Grapefruit                  :
California .................:       4,700             4,400              188               176
Florida, all ...............:       4,850             4,100              207               174
 Red 3/ ....................:       4,060              (NA)              173              (NA)
 White 3/ ..................:         790              (NA)               34              (NA)
Texas ......................:       4,400             2,400              176                96
                            :
United States ..............:      13,950            10,900              571               446
                            :
Tangerines and mandarins 4/ :
California .................:      22,400            24,000              896               960
Florida ....................:       1,020               890               48                42
                            :
United States ..............:      23,420            24,890              944             1,002
                            :
Lemons                      :
Arizona ....................:       1,800             1,500               72                60
California .................:      25,300            21,500            1,012               860
                            :
United States ..............:      27,100            23,000            1,084               920
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in
     California-80, Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95;
     lemons-80.
2/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason
     varieties in Florida and Texas.
3/   Estimates discontinued in 2020-2021.
4/   Includes tangelos and tangors.

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