STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Cotton Harvest Down 14%

WASHINGTON - Oct 9/20 - SNS -- All cotton production is forecast at 17.0 million 480-pound bales, down less than 1% from the previous forecast, and down 14% from 2019, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimate.

Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 909 pounds per harvested acre, down 1 pound from the previous forecast but up 86 pounds from 2019.

Upland cotton production is forecast at 16.5 million 480-pound bales, down less than 1% from the previous forecast and down 14% from 2019.

Pima cotton production is forecast at 545,000 bales, down 3% from the previous forecast and down 20% from 2019. All cotton area harvested is forecast at 9.01 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast, but down 22% from 2019.

Ginnings totaled 915,450 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 1,282,950 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2019 and
Forecasted October 1, 2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2020          :          :
                 :  2019   :  2020   :  2019  :-----------------------:   2019   :   2020
                 :         :         :        :September 1: October 1 :          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :--- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   532.0     445.0     928        976         960      1,028.0      890.0
Arizona .........:   158.0     123.0   1,154      1,366       1,366        380.0      350.0
Arkansas ........:   610.0     520.0   1,185      1,200       1,200      1,506.0    1,300.0
California ......:    53.0      40.0   1,576      1,620       1,620        174.0      135.0
Florida .........:   110.0      98.0     895        882         833        205.0      170.0
Georgia .........: 1,380.0   1,190.0     953        932         968      2,740.0    2,400.0
Kansas ..........:   151.0     195.0     890        788         788        280.0      320.0
Louisiana .......:   270.0     165.0   1,035      1,105       1,047        582.0      360.0
Mississippi .....:   700.0     525.0   1,112      1,179       1,198      1,621.0    1,310.0
Missouri ........:   368.0     287.0   1,193      1,204       1,171        915.0      700.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    45.0      35.0     821      1,029         891         77.0       65.0
North Carolina ..:   500.0     340.0     998        847         833      1,040.0      590.0
Oklahoma ........:   460.0     460.0     688        939         762        659.0      730.0
South Carolina ..:   295.0     185.0     809        856         804        497.0      310.0
Tennessee .......:   405.0     275.0   1,138      1,135       1,065        960.0      610.0
Texas ...........: 5,250.0   3,850.0     578        736         761      6,320.0    6,100.0
Virginia ........:   102.0      79.0   1,144        972         972        243.0      160.0
                 :
United States ...:11,389.0   8,812.0     810        899         899     19,227.0   16,500.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:     7.5       6.5     800      1,108       1,108         12.5       15.0
California ......:   201.0     146.0   1,545      1,529       1,463        647.0      445.0
New Mexico ......:     5.0      10.8     864        889       1,111          9.0       25.0
Texas ...........:    10.0      30.0     816        944         960         17.0       60.0
                 :
United States ...:   223.5     193.3   1,472      1,388       1,353        685.5      545.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   532.0     445.0     928        976         960      1,028.0      890.0
Arizona .........:   165.5     129.5   1,138      1,353       1,353        392.5      365.0
Arkansas ........:   610.0     520.0   1,185      1,200       1,200      1,506.0    1,300.0
California ......:   254.0     186.0   1,551      1,548       1,497        821.0      580.0
Florida .........:   110.0      98.0     895        882         833        205.0      170.0
Georgia .........: 1,380.0   1,190.0     953        932         968      2,740.0    2,400.0
Kansas ..........:   151.0     195.0     890        788         788        280.0      320.0
Louisiana .......:   270.0     165.0   1,035      1,105       1,047        582.0      360.0
Mississippi .....:   700.0     525.0   1,112      1,179       1,198      1,621.0    1,310.0
Missouri ........:   368.0     287.0   1,193      1,204       1,171        915.0      700.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    50.0      45.8     826        996         943         86.0       90.0
North Carolina ..:   500.0     340.0     998        847         833      1,040.0      590.0
Oklahoma ........:   460.0     460.0     688        939         762        659.0      730.0
South Carolina ..:   295.0     185.0     809        856         804        497.0      310.0
Tennessee .......:   405.0     275.0   1,138      1,135       1,065        960.0      610.0
Texas ...........: 5,260.0   3,880.0     578        737         762      6,337.0    6,160.0
Virginia ........:   102.0      79.0   1,144        972         972        243.0      160.0
                 :
United States ...:11,612.5   9,005.3     823        910         909     19,912.5   17,045.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2019 and Forecasted October 1, 2020
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2019             :           2020 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,945.0                       5,213.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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