STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Cotton Harvest Drops

WASHINGTON - Sep 11/20 - SNS -- All cotton production in the United States is forecast at 17.1 million 480-pound bales, down 6% from the previous forecast and down 14% from 2019, according to the latest USDA crop production update.

Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average a record high 910 pounds per harvested acre, down 28 pounds from the previous forecast but up 87 pounds from 2019.

Upland cotton production is forecast at 16.5 million 480-pound bales, down 6% from the previous forecast and down 14% from 2019. Pima cotton production is forecast at 559,000 bales, up 1% from the previous forecast but down 18% from 2019.

All cotton harvested area is forecast at 9.01 million acres, down 3% from the previous forecast and down 22% from 2019. All cotton planted area totaled 12.1 million acres, down 1% from the previous forecast and down 12% from 2019.

Cotton Area Planted and Harvested by Type - States and United States: 2019 and 2020
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2019       :      2020       :      2019       :     2020 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Upland            :
Alabama ..........:       540.0             450.0             532.0             445.0
Arizona ..........:       160.0             125.0             158.0             123.0
Arkansas .........:       620.0             525.0             610.0             520.0
California .......:        54.0              41.0              53.0              40.0
Florida ..........:       112.0             100.0             110.0              98.0
Georgia ..........:     1,400.0           1,200.0           1,380.0           1,190.0
Kansas ...........:       175.0             200.0             151.0             195.0
Louisiana ........:       280.0             170.0             270.0             165.0
Mississippi ......:       710.0             530.0             700.0             525.0
Missouri .........:       380.0             295.0             368.0             287.0
                  :
New Mexico .......:        63.0              44.0              45.0              35.0
North Carolina ...:       510.0             360.0             500.0             340.0
Oklahoma .........:       640.0             525.0             460.0             460.0
South Carolina ...:       300.0             190.0             295.0             185.0
Tennessee ........:       410.0             280.0             405.0             275.0
Texas ............:     7,050.0           6,800.0           5,250.0           3,850.0
Virginia .........:       103.0              80.0             102.0              79.0
                  :
United States ....:    13,507.0          11,915.0          11,389.0           8,812.0
                  :
American Pima     :
Arizona ..........:         7.5               6.5               7.5               6.5
California .......:       204.0             147.0             201.0             146.0
New Mexico .......:         5.2              11.0               5.0              10.8
Texas ............:        12.0              36.0              10.0              30.0
                  :
United States ....:       228.7             200.5             223.5             193.3
                  :
All               :
Alabama ..........:       540.0             450.0             532.0             445.0
Arizona ..........:       167.5             131.5             165.5             129.5
Arkansas .........:       620.0             525.0             610.0             520.0
California .......:       258.0             188.0             254.0             186.0
Florida ..........:       112.0             100.0             110.0              98.0
Georgia ..........:     1,400.0           1,200.0           1,380.0           1,190.0
Kansas ...........:       175.0             200.0             151.0             195.0
Louisiana ........:       280.0             170.0             270.0             165.0
Mississippi ......:       710.0             530.0             700.0             525.0
Missouri .........:       380.0             295.0             368.0             287.0
                  :
New Mexico .......:        68.2              55.0              50.0              45.8
North Carolina ...:       510.0             360.0             500.0             340.0
Oklahoma .........:       640.0             525.0             460.0             460.0
South Carolina ...:       300.0             190.0             295.0             185.0
Tennessee ........:       410.0             280.0             405.0             275.0
Texas ............:     7,062.0           6,836.0           5,260.0           3,880.0
Virginia .........:       103.0              80.0             102.0              79.0
                  :
United States ....:    13,735.7          12,115.5          11,612.5           9,005.3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2019 and
Forecasted September 1, 2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2020          :          :
                 :  2019   :  2020   :  2019  :-----------------------:   2019   :   2020
                 :         :         :        : August 1  :September 1:          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :--- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   532.0     445.0     928        981         976      1,028.0      905.0
Arizona .........:   158.0     123.0   1,154      1,483       1,366        380.0      350.0
Arkansas ........:   610.0     520.0   1,185      1,195       1,200      1,506.0    1,300.0
California ......:    53.0      40.0   1,576      1,662       1,620        174.0      135.0
Florida .........:   110.0      98.0     895        852         882        205.0      180.0
Georgia .........: 1,380.0   1,190.0     953      1,003         932      2,740.0    2,310.0
Kansas ..........:   151.0     195.0     890        947         788        280.0      320.0
Louisiana .......:   270.0     165.0   1,035      1,132       1,105        582.0      380.0
Mississippi .....:   700.0     525.0   1,112      1,240       1,179      1,621.0    1,290.0
Missouri ........:   368.0     287.0   1,193      1,331       1,204        915.0      720.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    45.0      35.0     821      1,140       1,029         77.0       75.0
North Carolina ..:   500.0     340.0     998        823         847      1,040.0      600.0
Oklahoma ........:   460.0     460.0     688        814         939        659.0      900.0
South Carolina ..:   295.0     185.0     809        830         856        497.0      330.0
Tennessee .......:   405.0     275.0   1,138      1,078       1,135        960.0      650.0
Texas ...........: 5,250.0   3,850.0     578        773         736      6,320.0    5,900.0
Virginia ........:   102.0      79.0   1,144        919         972        243.0      160.0
                 :
United States ...:11,389.0   8,812.0     810        929         899     19,227.0   16,505.0
                 :
American Pima    :
Arizona .........:     7.5       6.5     800      1,097       1,108         12.5       15.0
California ......:   201.0     146.0   1,545      1,463       1,529        647.0      465.0
New Mexico ......:     5.0      10.8     864        942         889          9.0       20.0
Texas ...........:    10.0      30.0     816      1,004         944         17.0       59.0
                 :
United States ...:   223.5     193.3   1,472      1,402       1,388        685.5      559.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   532.0     445.0     928        981         976      1,028.0      905.0
Arizona .........:   165.5     129.5   1,138      1,462       1,353        392.5      365.0
Arkansas ........:   610.0     520.0   1,185      1,195       1,200      1,506.0    1,300.0
California ......:   254.0     186.0   1,551      1,501       1,548        821.0      600.0
Florida .........:   110.0      98.0     895        852         882        205.0      180.0
Georgia .........: 1,380.0   1,190.0     953      1,003         932      2,740.0    2,310.0
Kansas ..........:   151.0     195.0     890        947         788        280.0      320.0
Louisiana .......:   270.0     165.0   1,035      1,132       1,105        582.0      380.0
Mississippi .....:   700.0     525.0   1,112      1,240       1,179      1,621.0    1,290.0
Missouri ........:   368.0     287.0   1,193      1,331       1,204        915.0      720.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    50.0      45.8     826      1,107         996         86.0       95.0
North Carolina ..:   500.0     340.0     998        823         847      1,040.0      600.0
Oklahoma ........:   460.0     460.0     688        814         939        659.0      900.0
South Carolina ..:   295.0     185.0     809        830         856        497.0      330.0
Tennessee .......:   405.0     275.0   1,138      1,078       1,135        960.0      650.0
Texas ...........: 5,260.0   3,880.0     578        774         737      6,337.0    5,959.0
Virginia ........:   102.0      79.0   1,144        919         972        243.0      160.0
                 :
United States ...:11,612.5   9,005.3     823        938         910     19,912.5   17,064.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
Cottonseed Production - United States: 2019 and Forecasted September 1, 2020
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2019             :           2020 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,945.0                       5,223.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

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