STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Orange Prospects Improve

WASHINGTON - Jul 10/20 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2019-2020 season is 5.14 million tons, up 1% from the previous forecast but down 5% from the 2018-2019 final utilization, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 67.7 million boxes (3.04 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 6% from last season's final utilization.

In Florida, early, midseason, and Navel varieties are forecast at 29.7 million boxes (1.33 million tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 2% from last season's final utilization.

The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 38.0 million boxes (1.71 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 8% below last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 51.0 million boxes (2.04 million tons), up 5% from the previous forecast but down 1% from last season's final utilization.

The California Navel orange forecast, at 42.0 million boxes (1.68 million tons), is up 5% from the previous forecast but unchanged from last season's final utilization.

The California Valencia orange forecast, at 9.00 million boxes (360,000 tons), is up 6% from the previous forecast but down 4% from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.34 million boxes (57,000 tons), is down 42% from the previous forecast and down 46% from last season's final utilization.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2018-2019 and
Forecasted July 1, 2020
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of
harvest the following year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :   Utilized production boxes 1/    :Utilized production ton equivalent
       Crop and State       :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :    2018-2019    :    2019-2020    :    2018-2019    :    2019-2020
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :     ------ 1,000 boxes ------            ------ 1,000 tons -----
Oranges                     :
California, all ............:      51,400            51,000            2,056             2,040
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      42,000            42,000            1,680             1,680
 Valencia ..................:       9,400             9,000              376               360
                            :
Florida, all ...............:      71,850            67,650            3,233             3,044
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      30,400            29,650            1,368             1,334
 Valencia ..................:      41,450            38,000            1,865             1,710
                            :
Texas, all .................:       2,500             1,340              106                57
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:       2,210             1,150               94                49
 Valencia ..................:         290               190               12                 8
                            :
United States, all .........:     125,750           119,990            5,395             5,141
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      74,610            72,800            3,142             3,063
 Valencia ..................:      51,140            47,190            2,253             2,078
                            :
Grapefruit                  :
California .................:       4,100             3,800              164               152
Florida, all ...............:       4,510             4,850              192               207
 Red .......................:       3,740             4,060              159               173
 White .....................:         770               790               33                34
Texas ......................:       6,100             4,400              244               176
                            :
United States ..............:      14,710            13,050              600               535
                            :
Tangerines and mandarins 3/ :
California .................:      26,500            21,000            1,060               840
Florida ....................:         990             1,020               47                48
                            :
United States ..............:      27,490            22,020            1,107               888
                            :
Lemons                      :
Arizona ....................:       1,350             1,900               54                76
California .................:      23,700            21,000              948               840
                            :
United States ..............:      25,050            22,900            1,002               916
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties
   in Florida and Texas.
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.

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