Rice Forecast Remains Above Last Year



WASHINGTON - Nov 8/19 - SNS -- Rice production in the United States is forecast at 188 million cwt, down less than 1% from the previous forecast and down 16% from last year, according to the USDA's latest crop report.

Harvested area is expected to total 2.48 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 15% from last year.

Based on conditions as of November 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,587 pounds per acre, down 29 pounds per acre from the previous forecast and 105 pounds per acre lower than the Nation's 2018 average yield of 7,692 pounds per acre.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted
November 1, 2019
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2019           :          :
              :   2018   :   2019   :    2018    :-------------------------:   2018   :   2019
              :          :          :            : October 1  : November 1 :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,427      1,126       7,520        7,500        7,500      107,325     84,450
California ...:    504        493       8,620        8,800        8,700       43,425     42,891
Louisiana ....:    436        415       7,130        6,650        6,600       31,094     27,390
Mississippi ..:    139        116       7,350        7,350        7,350       10,217      8,526
Missouri .....:    220        173       7,770        7,500        7,500       17,090     12,975
Texas ........:    189        154       7,970        7,600        7,600       15,060     11,704
              :
United States :  2,915      2,477       7,692        7,616        7,587      224,211    187,936
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2018 and Forecasted November 1, 2019
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2018 .......:    163,956           57,339           2,916           224,211
2019 2/ ....:    127,062           58,598           2,276           187,936
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2019 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.