STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Rice Harvest Sharply Lower

WASHINGTON - Oct 10/19 - SNS -Rice production is forecast at 189 million cwt (100 pound units), up 1% from the previous forecast, but down 16% from last year, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.

Area for harvest is expected to total 2.48 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 15% from last year.

Based on conditions as of October 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,616 pounds per acre, up 53 pounds from the previous forecast, but 76 pounds lower than the 2018 average yield of 7,692 pounds per acre.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted
October 1, 2019
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2019           :          :
              :   2018   :   2019   :    2018    :-------------------------:   2018   :   2019
              :          :          :            :September 1 : October 1  :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,427      1,126       7,520        7,450        7,500      107,325     84,450
California ...:    504        493       8,620        8,700        8,800       43,425     43,384
Louisiana ....:    436        415       7,130        6,700        6,650       31,094     27,598
Mississippi ..:    139        116       7,350        7,350        7,350       10,217      8,526
Missouri .....:    220        173       7,770        7,500        7,500       17,090     12,975
Texas ........:    189        154       7,970        7,300        7,600       15,060     11,704
              :
United States :  2,915      2,477       7,692        7,563        7,616      224,211    188,637
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2018 and Forecasted October 1, 2019
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2018 .......:    163,956           57,339           2,916           224,211
2019 2/ ....:    127,536           58,817           2,284           188,637
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2019 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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