STAT Communications Ag Market News

Record U.S. Canola Crop Possible

WASHINGTON - Oct 10/19 - SNS -- Canola production in the United States is expected to reach 3.71 billion pounds, up 3% from the 2018 revised production of 3.62 billion pounds, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.

If realized, this will be the largest production on record for the United States. Area planted, at 2.04 million acres, is up 1% from the June estimate and up 2% from last year's area. Canola farmers expect to harvest 1.99 million acres, up less than 1% from June and up 3% from 2018.

Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data. Both planted and the harvested area forecast for the Nation will be the second largest on record.

The October yield forecast, at 1,860 pounds per acre, is 1 pound below last year's record high yield. If realized, the yield forecast in Minnesota will be the highest on record since the published data series began in that State.

The yield in North Dakota, the largest canola-producing State, is forecast at 1,900 pounds per acre, down 60 pounds from last year's yield. Planted area in North Dakota is estimated at a record high 1.70 million acres, up 7% from last year.

Canola Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2018 and 2019
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2018       :      2019       :      2018       :     2019 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Idaho 2/ .........:        43.0              (NA)              42.0              (NA)
Kansas ...........:        47.0              29.0              35.0              18.0
Minnesota ........:        46.0              51.0              45.0              49.0
Montana ..........:       120.0             150.0             116.0             145.0
North Dakota .....:     1,590.0           1,700.0           1,580.0           1,690.0
Oklahoma .........:        70.0              35.0              53.0              21.0
Oregon 2/ ........:         4.7              (NA)               4.5              (NA)
Washington .......:        70.0              75.0              67.0              71.0
                  :
United States ....:     1,990.7           2,040.0           1,942.5           1,994.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Forecasted.
2/   Estimates discontinued in 2019.
Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2018 and
Forecasted October 1, 2019
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :      Production
              :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2018    :   2019    :   2018    :   2019    :   2018    :   2019
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  --- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 pounds ---
              :
Idaho 1/ .....:     42.0        (NA)      2,100        (NA)        88,200        (NA)
Kansas .......:     35.0        18.0        960       1,370        33,600      24,660
Minnesota ....:     45.0        49.0      2,060       2,130        92,700     104,370
Montana ......:    116.0       145.0      1,120       1,450       129,920     210,250
North Dakota .:  1,580.0     1,690.0      1,960       1,900     3,096,800   3,211,000
Oklahoma .....:     53.0        21.0        880       1,410        46,640      29,610
Oregon 1/ ....:      4.5        (NA)      1,700        (NA)         7,650        (NA)
Washington ...:     67.0        71.0      1,790       1,820       119,930     129,220
              :
United States :  1,942.5     1,994.0      1,861       1,860     3,615,440   3,709,110
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Estimates discontinued in 2019.

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