WASHINGTON - Aug 12/19 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.33 billion bushels, up 3% from the previous forecast and up 12% from 2018, according to the USDA's latest crop production report.
Based on August 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 53.2 bushels per acre, up 1.4 bushels from last month and up 5.3 bushels from last year's average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre. If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record, only behind 2016's record high yield of 55.3 bushels per acre. A record high yield is forecast in Maryland, Nebraska, and Oklahoma for 2019.
The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 24.9 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 1% from last year.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year's final head count in all States, except Montana.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted August 1, 2019 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2019 : : : 2018 : 2019 : 2018 :-------------------: 2018 : 2019 : : : : July 1 :August 1 : : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Arkansas .......: 95 60 55.0 60.0 60.0 5,225 3,600 California .....: 110 135 77.0 65.0 65.0 8,470 8,775 Colorado .......: 1,950 2,150 36.0 44.0 46.0 70,200 98,900 Idaho ..........: 680 680 90.0 87.0 86.0 61,200 58,480 Illinois .......: 560 590 66.0 63.0 65.0 36,960 38,350 Indiana ........: 260 260 71.0 67.0 67.0 18,460 17,420 Kansas .........: 7,300 6,600 38.0 50.0 53.0 277,400 349,800 Kentucky .......: 300 320 66.0 77.0 76.0 19,800 24,320 Maryland .......: 200 165 63.0 75.0 73.0 12,600 12,045 Michigan .......: 470 490 76.0 75.0 77.0 35,720 37,730 : Mississippi ....: 30 20 49.0 52.0 52.0 1,470 1,040 Missouri .......: 520 470 59.0 60.0 60.0 30,680 28,200 Montana ........: 1,570 1,850 50.0 46.0 48.0 78,500 88,800 Nebraska .......: 1,010 970 49.0 53.0 58.0 49,490 56,260 North Carolina .: 370 225 57.0 53.0 50.0 21,090 11,250 North Dakota ...: 70 75 43.0 45.0 45.0 3,010 3,375 Ohio ...........: 450 420 75.0 64.0 61.0 33,750 25,620 Oklahoma .......: 2,500 2,750 28.0 38.0 40.0 70,000 110,000 Oregon .........: 695 730 67.0 58.0 59.0 46,565 43,070 South Dakota ...: 660 730 48.0 54.0 52.0 31,680 37,960 : Tennessee ......: 285 225 65.0 66.0 66.0 18,525 14,850 Texas ..........: 1,750 2,200 32.0 35.0 35.0 56,000 77,000 Virginia .......: 155 115 60.0 66.0 65.0 9,300 7,475 Washington .....: 1,650 1,660 76.0 70.0 70.0 125,400 116,200 Wisconsin ......: 200 170 71.0 66.0 63.0 14,200 10,710 : Other States 1/ : 902 864 53.5 52.2 52.1 48,244 44,993 : United States ..: 24,742 24,924 47.9 51.8 53.2 1,183,939 1,326,223 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2018, Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2019 Summary."
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