STAT Communications Ag Market News

Corn Yield Forecasts Improve

WASHINGTON - Sep 13/18 - SNS -- This year's corn harvest is now expected to total 14.8 billion bushels, up 2% from August and up 2% from last year, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.

Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 181.3 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from the August forecast and up 4.7 bushels from 2017. If realized, this will be the highest yield on record for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 81.8 million acres, unchanged from the August forecast, but down 1% from 2017.

The 2018 area harvested for grain is forecast at 81.8 million acres, unchanged from August but down 1% from last year.

The September 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest number of ears on record for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin).

At 14.8 billion bushels, 2018 corn production is forecast to be the second highest production on record for the United States. The forecasted yield, at 181.3 bushels per acre is forecast to be the highest yield on record for the United States. Record high yields are forecast for Alabama, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Maryland, Michigan, Nebraska, New York, Ohio, South Dakota, Tennessee, and Wisconsin.

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2017 and
Forecasted September 1, 2018
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre          :     Production
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :          :         2018          :          :
                 :  2017   :  2018   :   2017   :-----------------------:   2017   :   2018
                 :         :         :          : August 1  :September 1:          :
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres       ---------- bushels ----------    --- 1,000 bushels ---
                 :
Alabama .........:    235       235     167.0       170.0       173.0        39,245     40,655
Arkansas ........:    595       640     183.0       182.0       182.0       108,885    116,480
California ......:     80        75     167.0       182.0       175.0        13,360     13,125
Colorado ........:  1,300     1,340     143.0       133.0       130.0       185,900    174,200
Delaware ........:    171       140     189.0       186.0       175.0        32,319     24,500
Georgia .........:    245       305     176.0       173.0       170.0        43,120     51,850
Idaho ...........:    115       125     203.0       190.0       195.0        23,345     24,375
Illinois ........: 10,950    10,850     201.0       207.0       214.0     2,200,950  2,321,900
Indiana .........:  5,190     4,920     180.0       186.0       192.0       934,200    944,640
Iowa ............: 12,900    12,850     202.0       202.0       206.0     2,605,800  2,647,100
                 :
Kansas ..........:  5,200     5,100     132.0       129.0       131.0       686,400    668,100
Kentucky ........:  1,220     1,210     178.0       175.0       177.0       217,160    214,170
Louisiana .......:    490       420     184.0       174.0       170.0        90,160     71,400
Maryland ........:    420       410     172.0       168.0       175.0        72,240     71,750
Michigan ........:  1,890     1,850     159.0       158.0       165.0       300,510    305,250
Minnesota .......:  7,630     7,400     194.0       191.0       191.0     1,480,220  1,413,400
Mississippi .....:    500       470     189.0       185.0       185.0        94,500     86,950
Missouri ........:  3,250     3,250     170.0       131.0       138.0       552,500    448,500
Nebraska ........:  9,300     9,350     181.0       196.0       198.0     1,683,300  1,851,300
New York ........:    485       630     161.0       158.0       163.0        78,085    102,690
                 :
North Carolina ..:    840       870     142.0       120.0       122.0       119,280    106,140
North Dakota ....:  3,230     3,100     139.0       148.0       142.0       448,970    440,200
Ohio ............:  3,130     3,310     177.0       180.0       188.0       554,010    622,280
Oklahoma ........:    305       270     126.0       120.0       125.0        38,430     33,750
Pennsylvania ....:    920       920     161.0       154.0       160.0       148,120    147,200
South Carolina ..:    325       310     136.0       127.0       124.0        44,200     38,440
South Dakota ....:  5,080     4,850     145.0       170.0       173.0       736,600    839,050
Tennessee .......:    710       730     171.0       174.0       174.0       121,410    127,020
Texas ...........:  2,240     2,000     140.0       115.0       105.0       313,600    210,000
Virginia ........:    340       330     140.0       148.0       148.0        47,600     48,840
Washington ......:     80        80     225.0       210.0       225.0        18,000     18,000
Wisconsin .......:  2,930     3,000     174.0       177.0       179.0       509,820    537,000
                 :
Other States 1/ .:    407       430     151.9       153.7       154.5        61,828     66,435
                 :
United States ...: 82,703    81,770     176.6       178.4       181.3    14,604,067 14,826,690
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West
   Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop
   Production 2018 Summary."

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