STAT Communications Ag Market News

Orange Crop Sinks 24%

WASHINGTON - Jul 12/18 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2017-2018 season is 3.86 million tons, down 1% from last month and down 24% from the 2016-2017 final utilization, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 45.0 million boxes (2.02 million tons), is unchanged from last month but down 35% from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 19.0 million boxes (853,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 43% from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 26.0 million boxes (1.17 million tons), is unchanged from last month but down 27% from last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 44.0 million boxes (1.76 million tons), down 1% from the previous forecast and down 9% from last season's final utilization. The California Navel orange forecast, at 35.0 million boxes (1.40 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 11% from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 9.00 million boxes (360,000 tons), down 5% from last month but unchanged from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.88 million boxes (80,000 tons), is down 11% from the previous forecast but up 37% from last season's final utilization.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2016-2017 and
Forecasted July 1, 2018
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of
harvest the following year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :   Utilized production boxes 1/    :Utilized production ton equivalent
       Crop and State       :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :    2016-2017    :    2017-2018    :    2016-2017    :    2017-2018
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            :     ------ 1,000 boxes -----             ------ 1,000 tons -----
Oranges                     :
California, all ............:      48,300           44,000             1,932             1,760
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      39,300           35,000             1,572             1,400
 Valencia ..................:       9,000            9,000               360               360
                            :
Florida, all ...............:      68,850           44,950             3,098             2,023
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      33,000           18,950             1,485               853
 Valencia ..................:      35,850           26,000             1,613             1,170
                            :
Texas, all .................:       1,370            1,880                58                80
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:       1,090            1,530                46                65
 Valencia ..................:         280              350                12                15
                            :
United States, all .........:     118,520           90,830             5,088             3,863
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ..:      73,390           55,480             3,103             2,318
 Valencia ..................:      45,130           35,350             1,985             1,545
                            :
Grapefruit                  :
California .................:       4,400            4,000               176               160
Florida, all ...............:       7,760            3,880               330               165
 Red .......................:       6,280            3,180               267               135
 White .....................:       1,480              700                63                30
Texas ......................:       4,800            4,800               192               192
                            :
United States ..............:      16,960           12,680               698               517
                            :
Tangerines and mandarins 3/ :
California .................:      23,900           20,000               956               800
Florida ....................:       1,620              750                77                36
                            :
United States ..............:      25,520           20,750             1,033               836
                            :
Lemons                      :
Arizona ....................:       1,650            1,300                66                52
California .................:      20,500           20,500               820               820
                            :
United States ..............:      22,150           21,800               886               872
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties
   in Florida and Texas.
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.

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