Modest Improvement in Orange Outlook



WASHINGTON - Apr 10/18 - SNS -- This season's orange harvest will likely reach 3.90 million tons, up slightly from last month but down 23% from the 2016-2017 revised final utilization, according to the USDA.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 45.0 million boxes (2.03 million tons), is unchanged from last month but down 35% from last season's revised final utilization.

Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast, at 19.0 million boxes (855,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 42% from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 26.0 million boxes (1.17 million tons), is unchanged from last month but down 27% from last season's revised final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 44.5 million boxes (1.78 million tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 8% from last season's revised final utilization.

The California Navel orange forecast, at 35.0 million boxes (1.40 million tons), is unchanged from previous forecast but down 11% from last season's final utilization.

The California Valencia orange forecast is 9.50 million boxes (380,000 tons), unchanged from last month but up 6% from last season's revised final utilization.

The Texas all orange forecast, at 2.11 million boxes (90,000 tons), is up 15% from the previous forecast and up 54% from last season's final utilization.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2016-2017 and
Forecasted April 1, 2018
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      :  Utilized production ton equivalent
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2016-2017     :     2017-2018     :     2016-2017     :     2017-2018
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes ------               ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all ..............:       48,300             44,500               1,932               1,780
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       39,300             35,000               1,572               1,400
 Valencia ....................:        9,000              9,500                 360                 380
                              :
Florida, all .................:       68,850             45,000               3,098               2,025
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       33,000             19,000               1,485                 855
 Valencia ....................:       35,850             26,000               1,613               1,170
                              :
Texas, all ...................:        1,370              2,110                  58                  90
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:        1,090              1,550                  46                  66
 Valencia ....................:          280                560                  12                  24
                              :
United States, all ...........:      118,520             91,610               5,088               3,895
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       73,390             55,550               3,103               2,321
 Valencia ....................:       45,130             36,060               1,985               1,574
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California ...................:        4,400              4,000                 176                 160
Florida, all .................:        7,760              4,000                 330                 170
 Red .........................:        6,280              3,250                 267                 138
 White .......................:        1,480                750                  63                  32
Texas ........................:        4,800              5,700                 192                 228
                              :
United States ................:       16,960             13,700                 698                 558
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins 3/   :
California ...................:       23,900             21,000                 956                 840
Florida ......................:        1,620                770                  77                  37
                              :
United States ................:       25,520             21,770               1,033                 877
                              :
Lemons                        :
Arizona ......................:        1,650              1,300                  66                  52
California ...................:       20,500             20,500                 820                 820
                              :
United States ................:       22,150             21,800                 886                 872
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida
   and Texas.
3/ Includes tangelos and tangors.