STAT Communications Ag Market News

Total U.S. Wheat Crop Off 25%

WASHINGTON - Jan 12/18 - SNS -- Production of all classes of wheat totaled 1.74 billion bushels in 2017, down 25% from the 2016 total of 2.31 billion bushels, according to the USDA's final crop estimates.

Area harvested for grain totaled 37.6 million acres, down 14% from the previous year. The United States yield was estimated at 46.3 bushels per acre, down 6.4 bushels from the previous year. The levels of production and changes from 2016 by type are winter wheat, 1.27 billion bushels, down 24%; other spring wheat, 416 million bushels, down 22%; and Durum wheat, 54.9 million bushels, down 47%.

Winter wheat production for 2017 totaled 1.27 billion bushels, down 24% from the 2016 total of 1.67 billion bushels. The United States yield, at 50.2 bushels per acre, was down 5.1 bushels from 2016. Area harvested for grain was estimated at 25.3 million acres, down 16% from the previous year. Record high yields were estimated in Alabama, Illinois, Iowa, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia for 2017.

Harvested acreage was down from 2016 in most of the major Hard Red Winter (HRW) growing States, the primary wheat producing area. As a result of the decreased harvested acreage and lower yields in 2017, HRW production totaled 750 million bushels, down 31% from 2016.

In the Soft Red Winter (SRW) growing area, planted and harvested acreage decreased from 2016 in most of the region. SRW production totaled 292 million bushels, down 15% from 2016.

White winter production totaled 227 million bushels, down 7% from the previous year. Harvested acreage in the Pacific Northwest (Idaho, Oregon, and Washington) was down 3% from 2016. Yields were down from the previous year in Idaho and Washington.

Other spring wheat production for 2017 was estimated at 416 million bushels, down 22% from the 2016 total of 532 million bushels. Harvested area totaled 10.2 million acres, down 10% from 2016. The United States yield was estimated at 41.0 bushels per acre, 6.3 bushels below 2016. Record high yields were estimated in Minnesota and Nevada for 2017. Of the total production, 385 million bushels were Hard Red Spring wheat, down 22% from the 2016 total.

Durum wheat production for 2017 was estimated at 54.9 million bushels, down 47% from the 2016 total of 104 million bushels. Area harvested for grain totaled 2.14 million acres, down 9% from the previous year. The United States yield was estimated at 25.7 bushels per acre, down 18.3 bushels from the 2016 record high yield. Production in North Dakota, the largest Durum-producing State, was down 50% from 2016. Drought conditions in eastern Montana and North Dakota during the 2017 growing season negatively impacted yield and reduced acreage harvested for grain. Harvest progress in these two States, as of September 3, was well ahead of the 5-year average pace due to rapid maturation.

All Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and
United States: 2015-2017
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :          Area planted 1/          :          Area harvested
     State     :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
               :   2015    :   2016    :   2017    :   2015    :   2016    :   2017
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :                              1,000 acres
               :
Alabama .......:     260         230         150         220         170         100
Arizona .......:     160         111         115         152         103         107
Arkansas ......:     350         195         200         240         115         125
California ....:     520         480         420         235         217         182
Colorado ......:   2,458       2,361       2,260       2,197       2,200       2,029
Delaware ......:      70          70          75          65          65          69
Florida .......:      25          25          20          15          17          14
Georgia .......:     215         180         160         145         110          70
Idaho .........:   1,220       1,190       1,165       1,155       1,125       1,104
Illinois ......:     540         520         500         520         470         470
               :
Indiana .......:     290         330         290         260         280         240
Iowa ..........:      20          25          16          15          17           8
Kansas ........:   9,200       8,500       7,600       8,700       8,200       6,950
Kentucky ......:     560         510         480         440         400         310
Louisiana .....:     110          25          20          92          20          13
Maryland ......:     355         360         410         270         260         185
Michigan ......:     510         610         480         475         570         425
Minnesota .....:   1,532       1,321       1,170       1,473       1,268       1,135
Mississippi ...:     150          65          45         120          50          25
Missouri ......:     760         690         640         610         570         540
               :
Montana .......:   5,620       5,130       5,140       5,365       4,975       4,665
Nebraska ......:   1,490       1,370       1,120       1,210       1,310       1,020
Nevada ........:      12          15          29           8           9          10
New Jersey ....:      27          25          23          20          21          17
New Mexico ....:     385         345         330         190         210         135
New York ......:     120         120         140         110         115         125
North Carolina :     650         420         450         570         355         375
North Dakota ..:   7,990       7,590       6,680       7,915       7,405       6,310
Ohio ..........:     520         580         460         480         560         435
Oklahoma ......:   5,300       5,000       4,500       3,800       3,500       2,900
               :
Oregon ........:     835         810         775         828         797         763
Pennsylvania ..:     195         190         210         175         150         150
South Carolina :     170          60          90         160          50          75
South Dakota ..:   2,756       2,270       1,887       2,236       2,157       1,196
Tennessee .....:     455         400         370         395         335         275
Texas .........:   6,100       5,000       4,700       3,550       2,800       2,350
Utah ..........:     135         129         134         128         120         120
Virginia ......:     260         210         210         210         175         145
Washington ....:   2,290       2,240       2,195       2,225       2,200       2,140
West Virginia .:       9           7           8           4           4           4
Wisconsin .....:     230         270         210         210         250         170
Wyoming .......:     145         140         135         130         125         105
               :
United States .:  54,999      50,119      46,012      47,318      43,850      37,586
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
See footnote(s) at end of table.                                            --continued
All Wheat Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and
United States: 2015-2017 (continued)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :          Yield per acre           :            Production
     State     :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
               :   2015    :   2016    :   2017    :   2015    :   2016    :   2017
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
               :   ---------- bushels ----------     --------- 1,000 bushels ---------
               :
Alabama .......:    68.0       70.0         77.0        14,960      11,900       7,700
Arizona .......:   101.0       97.8        100.8        15,356      10,073      10,789
Arkansas ......:    56.0       54.0         52.0        13,440       6,210       6,500
California ....:    79.1       79.7         68.2        18,595      17,302      12,404
Colorado ......:    37.1       48.2         43.2        81,485     106,000      87,598
Delaware ......:    65.0       67.0         73.0         4,225       4,355       5,037
Florida .......:    43.0       30.0         37.0           645         510         518
Georgia .......:    43.0       46.0         47.0         6,235       5,060       3,290
Idaho .........:    77.4       91.4         82.2        89,370     102,795      90,708
Illinois ......:    65.0       74.0         76.0        33,800      34,780      35,720
               :
Indiana .......:    68.0       81.0         74.0        17,680      22,680      17,760
Iowa ..........:    52.0       63.0         68.0           780       1,071         544
Kansas ........:    37.0       57.0         48.0       321,900     467,400     333,600
Kentucky ......:    73.0       80.0         77.0        32,120      32,000      23,870
Louisiana .....:    39.0       45.0         46.0         3,588         900         598
Maryland ......:    64.0       64.0         71.0        17,280      16,640      13,135
Michigan ......:    81.0       89.0         79.0        38,475      50,730      33,575
Minnesota .....:    59.9       59.0         66.9        88,294      74,828      75,935
Mississippi ...:    48.0       48.0         58.0         5,760       2,400       1,450
Missouri ......:    53.0       70.0         68.0        32,330      39,900      36,720
               :
Montana .......:    35.1       42.4         27.3       188,515     210,875     127,430
Nebraska ......:    38.0       54.0         46.0        45,980      70,740      46,920
Nevada ........:    81.3       72.3        106.0           650         651       1,060
New Jersey ....:    50.0       64.0         64.0         1,000       1,344       1,088
New Mexico ....:    25.0       22.0         30.0         4,750       4,620       4,050
New York ......:    63.0       74.0         67.0         6,930       8,510       8,375
North Carolina :    53.0       41.0         55.0        30,210      14,555      20,625
North Dakota ..:    46.7       45.0         37.7       370,023     332,978     238,085
Ohio ..........:    67.0       80.0         74.0        32,160      44,800      32,190
Oklahoma ......:    26.0       39.0         34.0        98,800     136,500      98,600
               :
Oregon ........:    47.3       50.1         63.0        39,195      39,937      48,069
Pennsylvania ..:    65.0       68.0         72.0        11,375      10,200      10,800
South Carolina :    46.0       43.0         49.0         7,360       2,150       3,675
South Dakota ..:    46.2       51.6         34.8       103,406     111,281      41,678
Tennessee .....:    68.0       73.0         70.0        26,860      24,455      19,250
Texas .........:    30.0       32.0         29.0       106,500      89,600      68,150
Utah ..........:    48.5       59.9         52.0         6,207       7,184       6,240
Virginia ......:    66.0       53.0         66.0        13,860       9,275       9,570
Washington ....:    50.3       71.5         66.6       111,900     157,290     142,500
West Virginia .:    60.0       61.0         69.0           240         244         276
Wisconsin .....:    74.0       79.0         68.0        15,540      19,750      11,560
Wyoming .......:    32.0       34.0         28.0         4,160       4,250       2,940
               :
United States .:    43.6       52.7         46.3     2,061,939   2,308,723   1,740,582
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes area planted in preceding fall.

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