Soybean Yield Forecast Sinks



WASHINGTON - Nov 9/17 - SNS -- Soybean production is forecast at a record 4.43 billion bushels, down less than 1% from October but up 3% from last year, according to the latest crop estimates from the USDA.

Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 49.5 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but down 2.5 bushels from last year. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at a record high 89.5 million acres, unchanged from last month.

The November objective yield data for the combined 11 major soybean-producing States (Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, and South Dakota) indicate a lower pod count from the previous year. Compared with final counts for 2016, pod counts are down in 8 of the 11 published States. A decrease of more than 200 pods per 18 square feet from 2016's final pod count is expected in Illinois, Nebraska, and South Dakota.

Soybeans for Beans Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2016
and Forecasted November 1, 2017
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                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre          :    Production
                 :-------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :         :         2017          :         :
                 :  2016   :  2017   :  2016   :-----------------------:  2016   :  2017
                 :         :         :         : October 1 :November 1 :         :
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                 :    1,000 acres       --------- bushels ---------     -- 1,000 bushels --
                 :
Alabama .........:    410       340     32.0       44.0        45.0        13,120    15,300
Arkansas ........:  3,100     3,500     47.0       51.0        50.0       145,700   175,000
Delaware ........:    163       158     41.5       51.0        51.0         6,765     8,058
Georgia .........:    240       145     30.0       45.0        40.0         7,200     5,800
Illinois ........: 10,050    10,540     59.0       57.0        58.0       592,950   611,320
Indiana .........:  5,630     5,940     57.5       55.0        55.0       323,725   326,700
Iowa ............:  9,440     9,950     60.0       56.0        56.0       566,400   557,200
Kansas ..........:  4,010     5,100     48.0       41.0        40.0       192,480   204,000
Kentucky ........:  1,780     1,940     50.0       53.0        52.0        89,000   100,880
Louisiana .......:  1,190     1,240     48.5       54.0        54.0        57,715    66,960
                 :
Maryland ........:    515       495     41.5       50.0        50.0        21,373    24,750
Michigan ........:  2,060     2,280     50.5       49.0        45.0       104,030   102,600
Minnesota .......:  7,490     8,100     52.0       46.0        46.0       389,480   372,600
Mississippi .....:  2,020     2,170     48.0       52.0        52.0        96,960   112,840
Missouri ........:  5,540     5,920     49.0       49.0        49.0       271,460   290,080
Nebraska ........:  5,150     5,650     61.0       56.0        58.0       314,150   327,700
New Jersey ......:     98        98     36.0       40.0        42.0         3,528     4,116
New York ........:    320       265     41.0       49.0        47.0        13,120    12,455
North Carolina ..:  1,660     1,670     35.0       39.0        41.0        58,100    68,470
North Dakota ....:  5,990     7,100     41.5       36.0        35.0       248,585   248,500
                 :
Ohio ............:  4,840     5,040     54.5       52.0        51.0       263,780   257,040
Oklahoma ........:    470       630     29.0       27.0        29.0        13,630    18,270
Pennsylvania ....:    575       585     44.0       52.0        50.0        25,300    29,250
South Carolina ..:    405       390     31.0       36.0        37.0        12,555    14,430
South Dakota ....:  5,170     5,610     49.5       45.0        45.0       255,915   252,450
Tennessee .......:  1,630     1,660     45.0       50.0        51.0        73,350    84,660
Texas ...........:    145       185     31.0       37.0        38.0         4,495     7,030
Virginia ........:    600       590     36.0       42.0        45.0        21,600    26,550
Wisconsin .......:  1,950     2,140     55.0       47.0        46.0       107,250    98,440
                 :
Other States 1/ .:     55        40     43.1       44.7        45.8         2,370     1,830
                 :
United States ...: 82,696    89,471     52.0       49.5        49.5     4,296,086 4,425,279
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1/ Other States include Florida and West Virginia. Individual State level estimates will
   be published in the "Crop Production 2017 Summary."