STAT Communications Ag Market News

Record Cotton Yields Expected

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/17 - SNS -- Production of all classes of cotton is expected to reach 21.4 million 480-pound bales in the United States, up 1% from October and up 25% from last year, according to the latest crop estimates from the USDA.

Yield is expected to average 900 pounds per harvested acre, up 11 pounds from last month and up 33 pounds from last year. If realized, the cotton yield forecast for the Nation will be the highest yield on record. Upland cotton production is forecast at 20.7 million 480-pound bales, up 24% from 2016. Pima cotton production, forecast at 727,000 bales, was carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Upland cotton harvested area is expected to total 11.2 million acres, unchanged from October but up 20% from last year. Pima cotton harvested area, estimated at 242,200 acres, was carried forward from an earlier forecast.

Ginnings totaled 4,964,250 running bales prior to November 1, compared with 5,015,650 running bales ginned prior to the same date last year.

Cottonseed Production - United States: 2016 and Forecasted November 1, 2017
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        Production
      State      :-----------------------------------------------------------
                 :            2016             :           2017 1/
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :                        1,000 tons
                 :
United States ...:           5,369.0                       6,758.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Cotton Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type - States and United States: 2016 and
Forecasted November 1, 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :         Yield per acre         :    Production 1/
                 :--------------------------------------------------------------------------
  Type and State :         :         :        :         2017          :          :
                 :  2016   :  2017   :  2016  :-----------------------:   2016   :   2017
                 :         :         :        : October 1 :November 1 :          :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 : -- 1,000 acres --   ---------- pounds ----------        1,000 bales 2/
                 :
Upland           :
Alabama .........:   343.0     428.0     988        976         964        706.0      860.0
Arizona .........:   118.0     158.0   1,525      1,574       1,549        375.0      510.0
Arkansas ........:   375.0     438.0   1,075      1,096       1,162        840.0    1,060.0
California ......:    62.0      90.0   1,897      1,760       1,680        245.0      315.0
Florida .........:   102.0      98.0     922        931         931        196.0      190.0
Georgia .........: 1,165.0   1,280.0     898        900         900      2,180.0    2,400.0
Kansas ..........:    31.0      91.0   1,099      1,002         976         71.0      185.0
Louisiana .......:   137.0     215.0     939        982       1,005        268.0      450.0
Mississippi .....:   430.0     625.0   1,207      1,152       1,152      1,081.0    1,500.0
Missouri ........:   266.0     297.0   1,021      1,220       1,172        566.0      725.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    41.0      55.0   1,030        916         873         88.0      100.0
North Carolina ..:   255.0     365.0     646        921         967        343.0      735.0
Oklahoma ........:   290.0     555.0   1,021        848         951        617.0    1,100.0
South Carolina ..:   183.0     245.0     656        940         940        250.0      480.0
Tennessee .......:   250.0     340.0   1,104      1,045       1,059        575.0      750.0
Texas ...........: 5,200.0   5,800.0     748        745         753      8,100.0    9,100.0
Virginia ........:    72.0      83.0     667      1,099       1,099        100.0      190.0
                 :
United States ...: 9,320.0  11,163.0     855        877         888     16,601.0   20,650.0
                 :
American Pima 3/ :
Arizona .........:    11.0      14.5     851        894         894         19.5       27.0
California ......:   154.0     208.0   1,565      1,528       1,528        502.0      662.0
New Mexico ......:     7.8       7.2     886        800         800         14.4       12.0
Texas ...........:    15.0      12.5   1,056        998         998         33.0       26.0
                 :
United States ...:   187.8     242.2   1,454      1,441       1,441        568.9      727.0
                 :
All              :
Alabama .........:   343.0     428.0     988        976         964        706.0      860.0
Arizona .........:   129.0     172.5   1,468      1,517       1,494        394.5      537.0
Arkansas ........:   375.0     438.0   1,075      1,096       1,162        840.0    1,060.0
California ......:   216.0     298.0   1,660      1,598       1,574        747.0      977.0
Florida .........:   102.0      98.0     922        931         931        196.0      190.0
Georgia .........: 1,165.0   1,280.0     898        900         900      2,180.0    2,400.0
Kansas ..........:    31.0      91.0   1,099      1,002         976         71.0      185.0
Louisiana .......:   137.0     215.0     939        982       1,005        268.0      450.0
Mississippi .....:   430.0     625.0   1,207      1,152       1,152      1,081.0    1,500.0
Missouri ........:   266.0     297.0   1,021      1,220       1,172        566.0      725.0
                 :
New Mexico ......:    48.8      62.2   1,007        903         864        102.4      112.0
North Carolina ..:   255.0     365.0     646        921         967        343.0      735.0
Oklahoma ........:   290.0     555.0   1,021        848         951        617.0    1,100.0
South Carolina ..:   183.0     245.0     656        940         940        250.0      480.0
Tennessee .......:   250.0     340.0   1,104      1,045       1,059        575.0      750.0
Texas ...........: 5,215.0   5,812.5     749        745         754      8,133.0    9,126.0
Virginia ........:    72.0      83.0     667      1,099       1,099        100.0      190.0
                 :
United States ...: 9,507.8  11,405.2     867        889         900     17,169.9   21,377.0
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1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ 480-pound net weight bale.
3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

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