USDA Hikes Winter Wheast Estimate



WASHINGTON - Aug 10/17 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is now forecast at 1.29 billion bushels, up 1% from the July 1 forecast but down 23% from 2016, according to the latest USDA production estimate's of the season.

Based on August 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 50.0 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushel from last month but down 5.3 bushels from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 25.8 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 15% from last year.

Hard Red Winter production, at 758 million bushels, is up less than 1% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 306 million bushels, is up less than 1% from the July forecast. White Winter, at 223 million bushels, is up 3% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 18.8 million bushels are Hard White and 204 million bushels are Soft White.

Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2016 and
Forecasted August 1, 2017
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :  Area harvested   :       Yield per acre       :      Production
                :------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State     :         :         :        :       2017        :           :
                :  2016   :  2017   :  2016  :-------------------:   2016    :   2017
                :         :         :        : July 1  :August 1 :           :
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                :    1,000 acres       ------- bushels -------     --- 1,000 bushels ---
                :
Arkansas .......:    115       130     54.0     55.0      55.0         6,210       7,150
California .....:    170       175     78.0     65.0      65.0        13,260      11,375
Colorado .......:  2,190     2,000     48.0     42.0      44.0       105,120      88,000
Idaho ..........:    710       680     94.0     86.0      86.0        66,740      58,480
Illinois .......:    470       490     74.0     75.0      74.0        34,780      36,260
Indiana ........:    280       260     81.0     76.0      78.0        22,680      20,280
Kansas .........:  8,200     6,900     57.0     47.0      47.0       467,400     324,300
Kentucky .......:    400       340     80.0     77.0      75.0        32,000      25,500
Maryland .......:    260       240     64.0     72.0      71.0        16,640      17,040
Michigan .......:    570       430     89.0     84.0      80.0        50,730      34,400
                :
Mississippi ....:     50        40     48.0     63.0      63.0         2,400       2,520
Missouri .......:    570       510     70.0     68.0      67.0        39,900      34,170
Montana ........:  2,150     1,720     49.0     44.0      44.0       105,350      75,680
Nebraska .......:  1,310     1,000     54.0     46.0      46.0        70,740      46,000
North Carolina .:    355       410     41.0     53.0      57.0        14,555      23,370
North Dakota ...:    120        40     48.0     38.0      38.0         5,760       1,520
Ohio ...........:    560       420     80.0     75.0      77.0        44,800      32,340
Oklahoma .......:  3,500     2,750     39.0     33.0      33.0       136,500      90,750
Oregon .........:    710       710     50.0     61.0      63.0        35,500      44,730
South Dakota ...:  1,100       650     58.0     43.0      38.0        63,800      24,700
                :
Tennessee ......:    335       285     73.0     72.0      72.0        24,455      20,520
Texas ..........:  2,800     2,500     32.0     28.0      28.0        89,600      70,000
Virginia .......:    175       130     53.0     62.0      66.0         9,275       8,580
Washington .....:  1,670     1,660     78.0     67.0      71.0       130,260     117,860
Wisconsin ......:    250       190     79.0     77.0      75.0        19,750      14,250
                :
Other States 1/ :  1,202     1,100     52.7     52.6      52.1        63,327      57,358
                :
United States ..: 30,222    25,760     55.3     49.7      50.0     1,671,532   1,287,133
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana,
   Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina,
   Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published
   in the "Small Grains 2017 Summary."