Orange Crop Forecast Slips



WASHINGTON - Jul 12/17 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 5.07 million tons, down 2% from last month and down 17% from the 2015-2016 final utilization, according to the latest USDA crop forecast.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 68.7 million boxes (3.09 million tons), is up slightly from last month but down 16% from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 33.0 million boxes (1.49 million tons), unchanged from last month but down 9% from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 35.7 million boxes (1.61 million tons), is up 1% from last month but down 22% from last season's final utilization.

The California Navel orange forecast is 40.0 million boxes (1.60 million tons), down 7% from the previous forecast and down 15% from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 8.00 million boxes (320,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast but down 29% from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 1.37 million boxes (58,000 tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 19% from last season's final utilization.}

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) final yield for the 2016-2017 season is 1.42 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, unchanged from last month but up 1% from last season's final yield of 1.41 gallons per box. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.34 gallons per box, down 1% from last season's final yield of 1.35 gallons per box. The Valencia portion is final at 1.54 gallons per box, unchanged from last month but up 5% from last year's final yield of 1.47 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2015-2016 and
Forecasted July 1, 2017
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      : Utilized production ton equivalent 2/
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2015-2016     :     2016-2017     :     2015-2016     :     2016-2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes -------              ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all ..............:       58,500              48,000              2,340               1,920
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:       47,200              40,000              1,888               1,600
 Valencia ....................:       11,300               8,000                452                 320
                              :
Florida, all .................:       81,700              68,700              3,677               3,092
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:       36,100              33,000              1,625               1,485
 Valencia ....................:       45,600              35,700              2,052               1,607
                              :
Texas, all ...................:        1,691               1,370                 71                  58
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:        1,351               1,090                 57                  46
 Valencia ....................:          340                 280                 14                  12
                              :
United States, all ...........:      141,891             118,070              6,088               5,070
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:       84,651              74,090              3,570               3,131
 Valencia ....................:       57,240              43,980              2,518               1,939
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California ...................:        3,800               4,000                152                 160
Florida, all .................:       10,800               7,800                459                 332
 Red .........................:        8,310               6,300                353                 268
 White .......................:        2,490               1,500                106                  64
Texas ........................:        4,800               4,800                192                 192
                              :
United States ................:       19,400              16,600                803                 684
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins 4/   :
California ...................:       21,600              24,000                864                 960
Florida 5/ ...................:        1,415               1,620                 67                  77
                              :
United States ................:       23,015              25,620                931               1,037
                              :
Lemons                        :
Arizona ......................:        1,750               1,650                 70                  66
California ...................:       20,900              19,000                836                 760
                              :
United States ................:       22,650              20,650                906                 826
                              :
Tangelos 6/                   :
Florida ......................:          390                (NA)                 18                (NA)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
     Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80; tangelos-90.
2/   Totals may not add due to rounding.
3/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
     Florida and Texas. For 2015-2016 included small quantities of Temples in Florida. Beginning in 2016-2017
     Temples in Florida are included in tangerines and mandarins.
4/   Includes tangelos and tangors.
5/   Small quantities of Temples in Florida
6/   Beginning in 2016-2017, tangelos are included in tangerines and mandarins for Florida.