STAT Communications Ag Market News

Smaller U.S. Canola Crop

WASHINGTON - Oct 9/20 - SNS -- Canola production in the United States is expected to reach 3.19 billion pounds, down 6% from the 2019 revised production of 3.40 billion pounds, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimate.

Area planted, at 1.85 million acres, is down 1% from the June estimate and down 9% from last year's area. Canola farmers expect to harvest 1.81 million acres, down 1% from June and down 5% from 2019. Acreage updates were made in several States based on a thorough review of all available data. Both planted and the harvested area forecast for the Nation will be the fourth largest on record.

The October yield forecast, at 1,759 pounds per acre, is 22 pounds below last year's yield but will still represent the fifth highest average yield on record for the Nation, if realized. The yield forecast in Washington will be the highest on record since the published data series began in that State, if realized.

The yield in North Dakota, the largest canola-producing State, is forecast at 1,770 pounds per acre, down 30 pounds from last year's yield. Planted area in North Dakota is estimated at 1.54 million acres, down 9% from last year.

Canola Area Planted and Harvested - States and United States: 2019 and 2020
[Includes updates to planted and harvested area previously published]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :           Area planted            :          Area harvested
       State      :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :      2019       :      2020       :      2019       :     2020 1/
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  :                              1,000 acres
                  :
Kansas ...........:        29.0               5.0              19.0               3.0
Minnesota ........:        51.0              50.0              48.5              48.0
Montana ..........:       150.0             155.0             138.0             145.0
North Dakota .....:     1,700.0           1,540.0           1,610.0           1,520.0
Oklahoma .........:        35.0              12.0              21.0               8.0
Washington .......:        75.0              90.0              73.0              88.0
                  :
United States ....:     2,040.0           1,852.0           1,909.5           1,812.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Forecasted.
Canola Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2019 and
Forecasted October 1, 2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :    Area harvested     :    Yield per acre     :      Production
              :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2019    :   2020    :   2019    :   2020    :   2019    :   2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :  --- 1,000 acres ---      ----- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 pounds ---
              :
Kansas .......:     19.0         3.0      1,090       1,910        20,710       5,730
Minnesota ....:     48.5        48.0      2,270       1,400       110,095      67,200
Montana ......:    138.0       145.0      1,450       1,500       200,100     217,500
North Dakota .:  1,610.0     1,520.0      1,800       1,770     2,898,000   2,690,400
Oklahoma .....:     21.0         8.0      1,410       1,530        29,610      12,240
Washington ...:     73.0        88.0      1,950       2,200       142,350     193,600
              :
United States :  1,909.5     1,812.0      1,781       1,759     3,400,865   3,186,670
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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