Australia -- Queensland Weather Update

MELBOURNE - Feb 21/18 - SNS -- The current forecast for the state of Queensland was released by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology.

Weather Situation
An upper low over the central interior of Queensland will move slowly north northwestwards into the northern interior during today and Friday. The upper low is then expected to weaken over the weekend though a broad upper trough will persist over the state. A very moist air mass extends over much of the state apart from the far west. These upper features will combine with the moist air mass to extend unstable conditions over much of the state with some severe storms likely, particularly over the northern interior today and extending further to the western Gulf Country from Friday. A trough lies over the Coral Sea offshore of the Capricornia and Fraser coasts. This trough will likely shift slowly south over the Fraser and southern Queensland coasts during today and Friday, gradually extending the possibility of locally heavy falls south about the coast and nearby inland. Note that there is some uncertainty associated with the movement of this trough. Hot conditions will continue through the far northwest today, though conditions should then start to gradually cool here from Friday as moisture and cloud cover increases. Conditions will generally remain cooler than average over much of the remainder of the state during the next few days.
Forecast for the rest of ThursdayThe high to very high chance of showers and gusty storms over northern and central districts east of about Burketown to Winton with some severe storms and heavy falls likely, particularly over the eastern Gulf Country and Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders districts. A slight to medium chance of showers and storms about the far northwest and remaining central west and into the northern Maranoa and Warrego. Rain areas, showers and isolated storms about the southern Capricornia, Wide Bay and Sunshine Coast with possible heavy falls. The high chance of showers and patchy rain over the remaining southern coast, decreasing to a slight to medium chance over the southeastern interior. Fine and mostly sunny in the far west. A hot day in the northwest with temperatures generally cooler than average elsewhere. Mostly moderate to fresh southeast to northeasterly winds, tending northerly across the far north.Friday 23 FebruaryThe upper low will most likely start to weaken while continuing to move slowly northwest over the northern interior. The upper feature will combine with a moist air mass to result in the high to very high chance of showers and gusty thunderstorms over northern and central parts of the state, with some severe storms and heavy falls likely, particularly over the eastern Gulf Country and western Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders districts. A surface trough will likely shift slowly south about the southern coast, enhancing showers about the coast and nearby inland with possible isolated storms and heavy falls. Fine and mostly sunny conditions are expected in the far southwest with the slight to medium chance of showers and storms about the remaining southern interior. Maximum temperatures will start to decrease in the far northwest and remain below average elsewhere.Saturday 24 FebruaryA broad upper trough will extend over the state and combine with a very moist air mass to result in the high to very high chance of showers and isolated to scattered thunderstorms over northern, central and southeast districts with some locally heavy falls possible with storms, particularly about inland parts and near the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. The slight chance of showers and storms will also extend over much of western Queensland, increasing to a medium to high chance east of about Mount Isa to Quilpie where moisture levels are higher. The trough about the southern coast will likely shift further south over the Gold Coast, enhancing showers over areas near and to its south before weakening late in the day. Temperatures will be close to average for most of the state but are likely to be slightly below average in the central and northern interior.Sunday 25 FebruaryA surface trough will most likely move east over the southwest of the state, with conditions drying to its west. A broad upper trough will again result in unstable conditions and showers and thunderstorms affecting many areas of the state, particularly locations east of about Mount Isa to Cunnamulla in the higher moisture to the east of the surface trough. Some locally heavy falls are possible with storms in this zone, particularly inland parts and near the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast. Maximum temperatures should become a bit warmer than average in the southeast as winds tend more north northwesterly ahead of the inland trough.Monday until WednesdayA coastal trough and associated fresh to possibly strong south to southeasterly wind change will likely gradually shift north along the east coast during the outlook period, with a firm ridge of high pressure extending north about the coast in its wake. The ridge will gradually extend a drier, more stable air mass north and west, resulting in the possibility of storms gradually contracting north and west over the state through the outlook period. The ridge and drier wind flow will also result in showers becoming less likely about the southeast quarter of the state during Tuesday and Wednesday. Showers and storms will persist over northern districts through the outlook period, with some possibility of locally heavy falls with storms as a moist air mass remains in place.The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:30 pm EST Thursday.Product IDQ10700
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This page was created at 18:45 on Wednesday 21 February 2018 (UTC)
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