STAT Communications Ag Market News

Orange Crop Shrinks

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/17 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2017-2018 season is 4.16 million tons, down 4% from last month and down 19% from the 2016-2017 final utilization, according to the latest crop estimates from the USDA.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 50.0 million boxes (2.25 million tons), is down 7% from last month and down 27% from last season's final utilization.

Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 21.0 million boxes (945,000 tons), down 9% from last month and down 36% from last season's final utilization.

The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 29.0 million boxes (1.31 million tons), is down 6% from last month and down 19% from last season's final utilization. California and Texas orange production forecasts were carried forward from the previous month.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2016-2017 and
Forecasted November 1, 2017
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year.]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      :  Utilized production ton equivalent
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2016-2017     :     2017-2018     :     2016-2017     :     2017-2018
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes ------               ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all 2/ ...........:       50,300             46,000               2,012               1,840
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:       39,300             35,000               1,572               1,400
 Valencia ....................:       11,000             11,000                 440                 440
                              :
Florida, all .................:       68,750             50,000               3,094               2,250
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:       33,000             21,000               1,485                 945
 Valencia ....................:       35,750             29,000               1,609               1,305
                              :
Texas, all 2/ ................:        1,370              1,650                  58                  70
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:        1,090              1,350                  46                  57
 Valencia ....................:          280                300                  12                  13
                              :
United States, all ...........:      120,420             97,650               5,164               4,160
 Early, mid, and Navel 3/ ....:       73,390             57,350               3,103               2,402
 Valencia ....................:       47,030             40,300               2,061               1,758
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California 2/ ................:        4,000              4,200                 160                 168
Florida, all .................:        7,760              4,650                 330                 198
 Red .........................:        6,280              3,800                 267                 162
 White .......................:        1,480                850                  63                  36
Texas 2/ .....................:        4,800              5,300                 192                 212
                              :
United States ................:       16,560             14,150                 682                 578
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins 4/   :
California 2/ ................:       23,900             23,000                 956                 920
Florida ......................:        1,620                950                  77                  45
                              :
United States ................:       25,520             23,950               1,033                 965
                              :
Lemons 2/                     :
Arizona ......................:        1,650              1,600                  66                  64
California ...................:       20,500             21,000                 820                 840
                              :
United States ................:       22,150             22,600                 886                 904
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
   Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80.
2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in Florida
   and Texas.
4/ Includes tangelos and tangors.

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