STAT Communications Ag Market News

U.S. Rice Crop Drops

WASHINGTON - Aug 10/17 - SNS -- Rice production in the U.S. is forecast at 186 million cwt (100 pound units), down 17% from 2016, according to the latest USDA production estimate's of the season.

If realized, production will be the lowest since 2011. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.48 million acres, unchanged from the June forecast but down 20% from 2016. Based on conditions as of August 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,513 pounds per acre, up 276 pounds per acre from 2016. If realized, a record high yield is expected in Missouri.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2016 and
Forecasted August 1, 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :   Yield per acre    :    Production 1/
     State    :-----------------------------------------------------------------
              :   2016   :   2017   :   2016   :   2017   :   2016   :   2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres        ---- pounds ----     ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,521      1,111      6,920      7,300     105,314     81,103
California ...:    536        495      8,840      8,800      47,394     43,560
Louisiana ....:    428        394      6,630      7,000      28,390     27,580
Mississippi ..:    194        118      7,180      7,100      13,929      8,378
Missouri .....:    231        183      6,650      7,200      15,352     13,176
Texas ........:    187        181      7,360      7,000      13,766     12,670
              :
United States :  3,097      2,482      7,237      7,513     224,145    186,467
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2016 and Forecasted August 1, 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2016 .......:    166,465           54,533           3,147           224,145
2017 2/ ....:    132,439           51,222           2,806           186,467
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2017 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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