STAT Communications Ag Market News

Second Largest Corn Crop

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/16 - SNS -- Corn production is forecast at 15.2 billion bushels, up 1% from the October forecast and up 12% from last year, according to the USDA.

Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 175.3 bushels per acre, up 1.9 bushels from the October forecast and up 6.9 bushels from 2015. If realized, this will be the highest yield and production on record for the United States. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 86.8 million acres, unchanged from the October forecast but up 8% from 2015.

The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate the third highest number of ears on record for the combined 10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin).

At 15.2 billion bushels, 2016 corn production is forecast to be the highest production on record for the United States. The forecasted yield, at 175.3 bushels per acre, is also expected to be a new record for the United States. Record yields are forecast for Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, North Carolina, North Dakota, South Carolina, Washington, and Wisconsin.

Corn for Grain Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2015 and
Forecasted November 1, 2016
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :  Area harvested   :          Yield per acre          :     Production
                 :----------------------------------------------------------------------------
      State      :         :         :          :         2016          :          :
                 :  2015   :  2016   :   2015   :-----------------------:   2015   :   2016
                 :         :         :          : October 1 :November 1 :          :
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 :    1,000 acres       ---------- bushels ----------    --- 1,000 bushels ---
                 :
Alabama .........:    245       320     147.0       124.0       122.0        36,015     39,040
Arkansas ........:    445       745     181.0       178.0       178.0        80,545    132,610
California ......:     60        75     157.0       180.0       180.0         9,420     13,500
Colorado ........:    950     1,190     142.0       138.0       142.0       134,900    168,980
Delaware ........:    164       164     192.0       172.0       170.0        31,488     27,880
Georgia .........:    285       365     171.0       178.0       175.0        48,735     63,875
Idaho ...........:     70       130     207.0       215.0       220.0        14,490     28,600
Illinois ........: 11,500    11,500     175.0       202.0       202.0     2,012,500  2,323,000
Indiana .........:  5,480     5,410     150.0       177.0       177.0       822,000    957,570
Iowa ............: 13,050    13,500     192.0       198.0       199.0     2,505,600  2,686,500
                 :
Kansas ..........:  3,920     4,850     148.0       147.0       147.0       580,160    712,950
Kentucky ........:  1,310     1,410     172.0       162.0       159.0       225,320    224,190
Louisiana .......:    390       550     171.0       168.0       168.0        66,690     92,400
Maryland ........:    380       390     164.0       163.0       165.0        62,320     64,350
Michigan ........:  2,070     2,160     162.0       155.0       155.0       335,340    334,800
Minnesota .......:  7,600     8,000     188.0       186.0       190.0     1,428,800  1,520,000
Mississippi .....:    490       720     175.0       167.0       163.0        85,750    117,360
Missouri ........:  3,080     3,550     142.0       165.0       165.0       437,360    585,750
Nebraska ........:  9,150     9,500     185.0       181.0       184.0     1,692,750  1,748,000
New York ........:    590       630     143.0       131.0       133.0        84,370     83,790
                 :
North Carolina ..:    730       940     113.0       141.0       144.0        82,490    135,360
North Dakota ....:  2,560     3,250     128.0       137.0       154.0       327,680    500,500
Ohio ............:  3,260     3,290     153.0       160.0       164.0       498,780    539,560
Oklahoma ........:    280       365     129.0       117.0       115.0        36,120     41,975
Pennsylvania ....:    940     1,000     147.0       134.0       134.0       138,180    134,000
South Carolina ..:    260       355      93.0       130.0       135.0        24,180     47,925
South Dakota ....:  5,030     5,210     159.0       145.0       148.0       799,770    771,080
Tennessee .......:    730       800     160.0       148.0       148.0       116,800    118,400
Texas ...........:  1,970     2,500     135.0       124.0       124.0       265,950    310,000
Virginia ........:    300       340     161.0       158.0       153.0        48,300     52,020
Washington ......:     75        80     215.0       230.0       235.0        16,125     18,800
Wisconsin .......:  3,000     3,100     164.0       177.0       180.0       492,000    558,000
                 :
Other States 1/ .:    385       447     156.5       162.9       162.9        60,270     72,821
                 :
United States ...: 80,749    86,836     168.4       173.4       175.3    13,601,198 15,225,586
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Other States include Arizona, Florida, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, West
   Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Crop
   Production 2016 Summary."

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