10% Smaller Orange Crop

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/16 - SNS -- The United States all orange forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 5.32 million tons, up 2% from last month but down 10% from the 2015-2016 final utilization, according to the USDA.

The Florida all orange forecast, at 72.0 million boxes (3.24 million tons), is up 3% from last month but down 12% from last season's final utilization.

Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 36.0 million boxes (1.62 million tons), up 6% from last month but down slightly from last season's final utilization.

The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 36.0 million boxes (1.62 million tons), is unchanged from last month but down 21% from last season's final utilization.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2016-2017 season is 1.47 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, down 1% from last month but up 4% from last season's final yield of 1.41 gallons per box.

The projected yield from the 2016-2017 early and midseason and Valencia varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2015-2016 and
Forecasted November 1, 2016
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year.]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      : Utilized production ton equivalent 2/
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2015-2016     :     2016-2017     :     2015-2016     :     2016-2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes -------              ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all 3/ ...........:       54,200              50,500              2,168               2,020
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:       45,500              42,000              1,820               1,680
 Valencia ....................:        8,700               8,500                348                 340
                              :
Florida, all .................:       81,600              72,000              3,672               3,240
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:       36,100              36,000              1,625               1,620
 Valencia ....................:       45,500              36,000              2,047               1,620
                              :
Texas, all 3/ ................:        1,691               1,350                 72                  58
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:        1,351               1,000                 57                  43
 Valencia ....................:          340                 350                 14                  15
                              :
United States, all ...........:      137,491             123,850              5,911               5,318
 Early, mid, and Navel 4/ ....:       82,951              79,000              3,502               3,343
 Valencia ....................:       54,540              44,850              2,409               1,975
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California 3/ ................:        3,800               4,000                152                 160
Florida, all .................:       10,800               9,600                459                 408
 Red .........................:        8,310               7,500                353                 319
 White .......................:        2,490               2,100                106                  89
Texas 3/ .....................:        4,800               4,700                192                 188
                              :
United States ................:       19,400              18,300                803                 756
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins 5/   :
California 3/ ................:       21,700              23,000                868                 920
Florida 6/ ...................:        1,415               1,550                 67                  72
                              :
United States ................:       23,115              24,550                935                 992
                              :
Lemons 3/                     :
Arizona ......................:        1,750               1,800                 70                  72
California ...................:       20,500              21,000                820                 840
                              :
United States ................:       22,250              22,800                890                 912
                              :
Tangelos 7/                   :
Florida ......................:          390                (NA)                 18                (NA)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
     Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80; tangelos-90.
2/   Totals may not add due to rounding.
3/   Estimates current year carried forward from previous forecast.
4/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
     Florida and Texas. For 2015-2016 included small quantities of Temples in Florida. Beginning in 2016-2017
     Temples in Florida are included in tangerines and mandarins.
5/   Includes tangelos and tangors.
6/   Small quantities of Temples in Florida.
7/   Beginning in 2016-2017, tangelos are included in tangerines and mandarins for Florida.