STAT Communications Ag Market News

Rice Harvest Remnains Up Over 2016

WASHINGTON - Nov 9/16 - SNS -- U.S. rice production is forecast at 235 million cwt, down 1% from the October forecast but up 22% from last year, according to the USDA.

If realized, production for 2016 would represent the second highest production total on record for the United States, behind only the 243 million cwt that was produced in 2010. Area for harvest is expected to total 3.13 million acres, unchanged from the October forecast but up 22% from last year.

Based on conditions as of November 1, the average United States yield is forecast at 7,493 pounds per acre, down 39 pounds per acre from the October forecast but 23 pounds per acre higher than the 2015 average yield of 7,470 pounds per acre. If realized, the expected yields in California and Texas for 2016 will be record highs.

Rice Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2015 and Forecasted
November 1, 2016
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :   Area harvested    :            Yield per acre            :    Production 1/
              :----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     State    :          :          :            :          2016           :          :
              :   2015   :   2016   :    2015    :-------------------------:   2015   :   2016
              :          :          :            : October 1  : November 1 :          :
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              :     1,000 acres         ------------ pounds -----------      ---- 1,000 cwt ---
              :
Arkansas .....:  1,286      1,521       7,340        7,200        7,150       94,341    108,752
California ...:    421        559       8,890        8,900        8,900       37,441     49,751
Louisiana ....:    415        435       6,940        6,850        6,850       28,791     29,798
Mississippi ..:    149        194       7,110        7,100        7,100       10,594     13,774
Missouri .....:    174        231       7,020        7,000        6,800       12,212     15,708
Texas ........:    130        193       6,900        8,800        8,800        8,964     16,984
              :
United States :  2,575      3,133       7,470        7,532        7,493      192,343    234,767
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Includes sweet rice production.
Rice Production by Class - United States: 2015 and Forecasted November 1, 2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                :                :                :
    Year    :   Long grain   :  Medium grain  : Short grain 1/ :      All
            :                :                :                :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                             1,000 cwt
            :
2015 .......:    133,032           56,677           2,634           192,343
2016 2/ ....:    176,109           55,519           3,139           234,767
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Sweet rice production included with short grain.
2/ The 2016 rice production by class forecasts are based on class harvested
   acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield compared to the all rice
   yield.

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