Oat Outlook Improves A Little

WASHINGTON - Aug 12/16 - SNS -- Oats production is forecast at 76.9 million bushels in the United States, up less than 1% from the July 1 forecast but down 14% from 2015, according to the USDA's latest estimate for the crop.

Growers expect to harvest 1.17 million acres for grain or seed, unchanged from July but down 9% from last year. Based on conditions as of August 1, the United States yield is forecast at 66.0 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from the July 1 forecast but 4.2 bushels below the 2015 average yield.

Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2015 and Forecasted
August 1, 2016
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                    :  Area harvested  :       Yield per acre       :     Production
                    :---------------------------------------------------------------------
        State       :        :         :        :       2016        :          :
                    :  2015  :  2016   :  2015  :-------------------:   2015   :   2016
                    :        :         :        : July 1  :August 1 :          :
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                    :   1,000 acres       ------- bushels -------        1,000 bushels
                    :
California .........:    10        10     60.0     80.0      80.0         600        800
Idaho ..............:    15        15     86.0     88.0      81.0       1,290      1,215
Illinois ...........:    25        25     77.0     73.0      72.0       1,925      1,800
Iowa ...............:    57        53     73.0     65.0      68.0       4,161      3,604
Kansas .............:    40        30     65.0     61.0      61.0       2,600      1,830
Maine ..............:    29        24     80.0     65.0      65.0       2,320      1,560
Michigan ...........:    50        30     67.0     64.0      62.0       3,350      1,860
Minnesota ..........:   160        95     78.0     69.0      68.0      12,480      6,460
Montana ............:    22        29     53.0     50.0      45.0       1,166      1,305
Nebraska ...........:    40        40     67.0     65.0      63.0       2,680      2,520
                    :
New York ...........:    40        70     58.0     59.0      64.0       2,320      4,480
North Dakota .......:   140       160     74.0     54.0      61.0      10,360      9,760
Ohio ...............:    40        55     63.0     65.0      63.0       2,520      3,465
Oregon .............:    11        13     88.0     95.0      95.0         968      1,235
Pennsylvania .......:    65        60     55.0     60.0      58.0       3,575      3,480
South Dakota .......:   145       155     87.0     91.0      86.0      12,615     13,330
Texas ..............:    55        55     48.0     43.0      45.0       2,640      2,475
Wisconsin ..........:   195       130     72.0     66.0      67.0      14,040      8,710
                    :
Other States 1/ ....:   137       116     57.8     61.0      60.0       7,925      6,965
                    :
United States ......: 1,276     1,165     70.2     65.8      66.0      89,535     76,854
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1/ For 2015, Other States include: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Indiana,
   Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Utah, Virginia, Washington, and
   Wyoming. For 2016, Other States include: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia,
   Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Washington, and Wyoming.
   Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2016 Summary."