STAT Communications Ag Market News

Modest Gains in Citrus Output

WASHINGTON - Jul 12/16 - SNS -- Citrus fruit production in the United States is up slightly from earlier forecasts as gains in oranges offset losses in grapefruit, according to the latest USDA crop production estimate.

The United States all orange forecast for the 2015-2016 season is 5.92 million tons, up 2% from the previous forecast but down 7% from the 2014-2015 final utilization.

The United States 2015-2016 grapefruit crop is forecast at 810,000 tons, down 2% from last month's forecast and down 9% from last season's final utilization. In Florida, expected production, at 10.9 million boxes, is unchanged from last month but down 16% from last year. Texas grapefruit production is down 7% from the previous forecast but California's production is unchanged.

The United States tangerine and mandarin crop is forecast at 948,000 tons, unchanged from last month but up 11% from last season's final utilization. If realized, this will be the largest production since records began in 1964-1965. The California and Florida forecasts are unchanged from the previous month. Beginning in 2015-2016 tangerine and mandarin estimates were discontinued for Arizona.

The forecast for the 2015-2016 United States lemon crop is 934,000 tons, up 4% from the previous forecast and up 3% from last season's final utilization. California's production is up from last season, while Arizona's production is down from 2014-2015.

Florida's tangelo forecast is 390,000 boxes (18,000 tons), unchanged from last month but down 41% from last season's final utilization. The production is the lowest since the 1958-1959 season.

Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop - States and United States: 2014-2015 and
Forecasted July 1, 2016
[The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the
following year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     Utilized production boxes 1/      :  Utilized production ton equivalent
        Crop and State        :-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :     2014-2015     :     2015-2016     :     2014-2015     :     2015-2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              :      ------- 1,000 boxes -------              ------- 1,000 tons ------
Oranges                       :
California, all ..............:       48,600              54,500              1,944               2,180
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       39,100              44,000              1,564               1,760
 Valencia ....................:        9,500              10,500                380                 420
                              :
Florida, all .................:       96,950              81,500              4,363               3,668
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       47,400              36,100              2,133               1,625
 Valencia ....................:       49,550              45,400              2,230               2,043
                              :
Texas, all ...................:        1,452               1,695                 62                  72
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:        1,170               1,355                 50                  58
 Valencia ....................:          282                 340                 12                  14
                              :
United States, all ...........:      147,002             137,695              6,369               5,920
 Early, mid, and Navel 2/ ....:       87,670              81,455              3,747               3,443
 Valencia ....................:       59,332              56,240              2,622               2,477
                              :
Grapefruit                    :
California ...................:        4,300               3,900                172                 156
Florida, all .................:       12,900              10,850                548                 461
 Red .........................:        9,650               8,350                410                 355
 White .......................:        3,250               2,500                138                 106
Texas ........................:        4,250               4,830                170                 193
                              :
United States ................:       21,450              19,580                890                 810
                              :
Tangerines and mandarins      :
Arizona 3/ 4/ ................:          170                (NA)                  7                (NA)
California 3/ ................:       18,500              22,000                740                 880
Florida ......................:        2,265               1,430                108                  68
                              :
United States ................:       20,935              23,430                855                 948
                              :
Lemons                        :
Arizona ......................:        2,000               1,550                 80                  62
California ...................:       20,600              21,800                824                 872
                              :
United States ................:       22,600              23,350                904                 934
                              :
Tangelos                      :
Florida ......................:          665                 390                 30                  18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(NA) Not available.
(X)  Not applicable.
1/   Net pounds per box: oranges in California-80, Florida-90, Texas-85; grapefruit in California-80,
     Florida-85, Texas-80; tangerines and mandarins in Arizona and California-80, Florida-95; lemons-80;
     tangelos-90.
2/   Navel and miscellaneous varieties in California. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in
     Florida and Texas. Small quantities of Temples in Florida.
3/   Includes tangelos and tangors.
4/   Estimates discontinued in 2015-2016.

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