WASHINGTON - Jul 12/16 - SNS -- This year's U.S. barley crop is forecast at 183 million bushels, down 15% from last year, according to the latest USDA crop production estimate.
Based on conditions as of July 1, the average yield for the United States is forecast at 70.9 bushels per acre, up 2 bushels from last year. Area harvested for grain or seed, at 2.58 million acres, is unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2016 but down 17% from 2015.
When compared with last year, the largest yield increases are expected in Washington and Wyoming due to favorable spring weather. Wet conditions have negatively impacted the yield in Virginia. Record barley yields are expected in Arizona, Colorado, and Wyoming.
Generally dry spring weather and timely rains facilitated beneficial conditions for planting and the development of barley in 2016. By June 12, 95% of the Nation's barley crop was emerged, 6 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Around 72% of the barley crop was headed by July 3, twenty-four percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Nationwide, 75% of the barley crop was rated in the good to excellent categories on July 3, two percentage points better than at the same time last year.
Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2015 and Forecasted July 1, 2016 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :----------------------------------------------------------------- State : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 : 2016 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ---- bushels --- 1,000 bushels : Arizona ........: 16 15 120.0 125.0 1,920 1,875 California .....: 25 30 55.0 50.0 1,375 1,500 Colorado .......: 63 57 130.0 135.0 8,190 7,695 Idaho ..........: 550 560 97.0 95.0 53,350 53,200 Minnesota ......: 120 75 77.0 53.0 9,240 3,975 Montana ........: 850 770 52.0 55.0 44,200 42,350 North Dakota ...: 1,050 700 64.0 62.0 67,200 43,400 Virginia .......: 16 18 75.0 64.0 1,200 1,152 Washington .....: 100 110 48.0 66.0 4,800 7,260 Wyoming ........: 86 81 95.0 107.0 8,170 8,667 : Other States 1/ : 233 162 62.9 72.2 14,652 11,697 : United States ..: 3,109 2,578 68.9 70.9 214,297 182,771 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ For 2015, Other States include: Delaware, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Utah, and Wisconsin. For 2016, Other States include: Delaware, Maryland, Oregon, Pennsylvania, and Utah. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2016 Summary."
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