WASHINGTON - Jul 12/16 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.63 billion bushels, up 8% from the June 1 forecast and up 19% from 2015, according to the latest USDA crop production estimate.
Based on July 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at a record high 53.9 bushels per acre, up 3.4 bushels from last month and up 11.4 bushels from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 30.2 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2016 but down 6% from last year.
Hard Red Winter production, at 1.03 billion bushels, is up 10% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 370 million bushels, is up 4% from the June forecast. White Winter, at 224 million bushels, is up 4% from last month. Of the White Winter production, 21.2 million bushels are Hard White and 202 million bushels are Soft White.
As of July 3, harvest progress was equal to or ahead of normal in all Hard Red Winter (HRW) States except Colorado and Nebraska. Yield increases from last month in the HRW growing area are expected in Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas, but are down in North Dakota and South Dakota. As of July 3, harvest progress in the Soft Red Winter (SRW) growing area was ahead of normal in all major producing States except Michigan.
Record high yields are forecast in Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Wisconsin in 2016.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2015 and Forecasted July 1, 2016 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2016 : : : 2015 : 2016 : 2015 :-------------------: 2015 : 2016 : : : : June 1 : July 1 : : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Arkansas .......: 240 140 56.0 53.0 56.0 13,440 7,840 California .....: 150 175 70.0 73.0 70.0 10,500 12,250 Colorado .......: 2,140 2,120 37.0 42.0 45.0 79,180 95,400 Idaho ..........: 700 720 82.0 84.0 86.0 57,400 61,920 Illinois .......: 520 520 65.0 68.0 75.0 33,800 39,000 Indiana ........: 260 320 68.0 73.0 76.0 17,680 24,320 Kansas .........: 8,700 8,100 37.0 48.0 56.0 321,900 453,600 Kentucky .......: 440 410 73.0 72.0 74.0 32,120 30,340 Maryland .......: 270 260 64.0 69.0 67.0 17,280 17,420 Michigan .......: 475 570 81.0 82.0 81.0 38,475 46,170 : Mississippi ....: 120 70 48.0 58.0 58.0 5,760 4,060 Missouri .......: 610 600 53.0 57.0 69.0 32,330 41,400 Montana ........: 2,220 2,200 41.0 45.0 45.0 91,020 99,000 Nebraska .......: 1,210 1,200 38.0 50.0 50.0 45,980 60,000 North Carolina .: 570 420 53.0 52.0 48.0 30,210 20,160 North Dakota ...: 190 130 44.0 56.0 54.0 8,360 7,020 Ohio ...........: 480 550 67.0 75.0 76.0 32,160 41,800 Oklahoma .......: 3,800 3,300 26.0 35.0 40.0 98,800 132,000 Oregon .........: 735 705 47.0 63.0 61.0 34,545 43,005 South Dakota ...: 970 1,070 44.0 55.0 54.0 42,680 57,780 : Tennessee ......: 395 390 68.0 71.0 71.0 26,860 27,690 Texas ..........: 3,550 2,800 30.0 32.0 34.0 106,500 95,200 Virginia .......: 210 175 66.0 63.0 59.0 13,860 10,325 Washington .....: 1,590 1,670 56.0 65.0 67.0 89,040 111,890 Wisconsin ......: 210 265 74.0 76.0 78.0 15,540 20,670 : Other States 1/ : 1,502 1,296 49.8 53.5 52.0 74,768 67,404 : United States ..: 32,257 30,176 42.5 50.5 53.9 1,370,188 1,627,664 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2016 Summary."
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