WASHINGTON - Jun 10/15 - SNS -- Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.51 billion bushels, up 2% from the May 1 forecast and up 9% from 2014, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates for 2015.
Based on June 1 conditions, the United States yield is forecast at 44.5 bushels per acre, up 1 bushel from last month and up 1.9 bushels from last year.
As of May 31, 44% of the winter wheat crop in the 18 major producing States was rated in good to excellent condition, 14 percentage points better than at the same time last year. Nationally, 84% of the winter wheat crop was headed by May 31, seven percentage points ahead of the 5-year average pace.
Hard Red Winter production, at 887 million bushels, is up 4% from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 414 million bushels, is down less than one% from the May forecast. White Winter, at 204 million bushels, is up slightly from last month. Of the White Winter production, 12.4 million bushels are Hard White and 191 million bushels are Soft White.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the six Hard Red Winter States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are above last year's level in Colorado, Kansas, Montana, and Oklahoma but below in Nebraska, and Texas. Wet weather across much of the Nation in May has delayed harvest in the Southern Great Plains and Southeast.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in the three Soft Red Winter States (Illinois, Missouri, and Ohio) are above last year's levels in Missouri but below in Illinois and Ohio.
Forecasted head counts from the objective yield survey in Washington are below last year. Forty-one% of the Washington crop was rated in mostly fair to good condition as of May 31.
Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production - States and United States: 2014 and Forecasted June 1, 2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Area harvested : Yield per acre : Production :------------------------------------------------------------------------ State : : : : 2015 : : : 2014 : 2015 : 2014 :-------------------: 2014 : 2015 : : : : May 1 : June 1 : : ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : 1,000 acres ------- bushels ------- --- 1,000 bushels --- : Arkansas .......: 395 340 63.0 61.0 56.0 24,885 19,040 California .....: 180 200 80.0 70.0 65.0 14,400 13,000 Colorado .......: 2,350 2,250 38.0 37.0 38.0 89,300 85,500 Georgia ........: 230 220 49.0 53.0 49.0 11,270 10,780 Idaho ..........: 730 705 80.0 81.0 84.0 58,400 59,220 Illinois .......: 670 570 67.0 67.0 66.0 44,890 37,620 Indiana ........: 335 305 76.0 74.0 74.0 25,460 22,570 Kansas .........: 8,800 8,500 28.0 32.0 37.0 246,400 314,500 Kentucky .......: 510 470 71.0 70.0 73.0 36,210 34,310 Maryland .......: 250 240 70.0 64.0 69.0 17,500 16,560 : Michigan .......: 485 510 74.0 76.0 76.0 35,890 38,760 Mississippi ....: 215 155 58.0 57.0 53.0 12,470 8,215 Missouri .......: 740 720 58.0 60.0 60.0 42,920 43,200 Montana ........: 2,240 2,300 41.0 41.0 44.0 91,840 101,200 Nebraska .......: 1,450 1,460 49.0 40.0 42.0 71,050 61,320 New York .......: 95 115 63.0 64.0 60.0 5,985 6,900 North Carolina .: 770 640 58.0 56.0 54.0 44,660 34,560 North Dakota ...: 555 220 49.0 51.0 49.0 27,195 10,780 Ohio ...........: 545 530 74.0 70.0 73.0 40,330 38,690 Oklahoma .......: 2,800 4,100 17.0 29.0 28.0 47,600 114,800 : Oregon .........: 740 745 55.0 56.0 56.0 40,700 41,720 Pennsylvania ...: 150 160 65.0 65.0 62.0 9,750 9,920 South Carolina .: 220 170 52.0 52.0 52.0 11,440 8,840 South Dakota ...: 1,080 1,100 55.0 44.0 41.0 59,400 45,100 Tennessee ......: 475 410 66.0 69.0 71.0 31,350 29,110 Texas ..........: 2,250 3,750 30.0 35.0 32.0 67,500 120,000 Virginia .......: 260 225 68.0 71.0 68.0 17,680 15,300 Washington .....: 1,640 1,680 52.0 63.0 62.0 85,280 104,160 Wisconsin ......: 250 230 65.0 71.0 71.0 16,250 16,330 : Other States 1/ : 894 818 55.4 52.6 52.6 49,521 43,067 : United States ..: 32,304 33,838 42.6 43.5 44.5 1,377,526 1,505,072 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2015 Summary."
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