Alaron Energy Comment

CHICAGO - Aug 12/09 - SNS -- Following is the energy futures comment from Alaron Trading Corp.

The Energy Report for  Wednesday, August 12, 2009

What, me worry? Never! Oil Prices close below $70 and now the price of oil seems to be headed back down. Was there ever a doubt? Ok fine!  I admit it! When I predicted that oil prices had peaked for the year in early July, I admit I was sweating it.  Oil prices seemed to get a new lease on life as a surge of economic optimism seemed to increase the odds that oil demand could somehow overcome a world awash in supply. Now the odds are increasing that the high for the year is still in and I can breathe a little easier. Yet yesterday it appears that oil had a  sell off in a surge of what you can call pre-fed fodder.

Yesterday oil was disappointed with on economic news out of China which seemed to suggest that China's recent oil demand growth has been more government spending than economic growth inspired. In fact today US oil traders may find just how dependant the price of oil is  on our Federal Reserve and fed policy. Will the Fed send the message that the days of printing money to prop up the economy is coming to an end? As I have said since the day   the Fed announced its policy of quantitative easing,  they  would be  the  most significant factor that would drive oil prices higher. And now as it appears that the economy is seemingly getting better the Fed will now have to start laying the ground work for a reversal of those policies. Oh sure we can talk about the EIA and the API but the Fed and their statement will be the biggest factor that will drive the future of oil prices.

Keep up to date with all the latest breaking news on the Fox Business Network where you can see me every day. And if you are ready to trade call me at 800-935-6487 or email me  at  Pflynn@pfgbest.com.  See all the services that PFGBest can offer you and to open your account.  Metals, Forex, managed accounts you name it!

We're Sept crude from  apprx 7150 -  stop 7390.

Stopped on short September heating oil from apprx 19700  at apprx  20000.

We're short September RBOB from apprx 20750 - lower stop to 20500!

Sell September natural gas  at 470 - stop 480.

Phil Flynn

Alaron Research Team

800.563.9510

pflynn@alaron.com

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