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Alaron Currency Comment

CHICAGO - Jun 25/09 - SNS -- Following is the currency futures comment from Alaron Trading Corp.


Euro-Currency (ECU9):

The EC opened higher at 1.3935 and slid to a  morning Lo of 1.8860, before following equity prices higher. An increase in risk-appetite saw traders leaving the safe-haven of Dollars, sending the EC to a daily Hi of 1.4012, before  drifting lower towards the close  to end the session at 1.3985, up 66 tics. The close above the 10-day MA changes the s/t trend to 'positive' w/neutral momentum indicators. Traders will key on overseas equity markets as a barometer for  'risk', which could  benefit the Euro should traders rotate out of DX, seeking higher yields. A higher open should find Resistance at 1.4036 and 1.4087, while an  open below 1.3961 may find Support at 1.3910 and 1.3835.  


 
Dollar Index (DXU9):

The Dollar opened higher at 81.06 and rose to a daily Hi of 81.255, before an increase in risk-appetite  sent equity prices higher and DX to a  daily Lo of 80.57. Prices found Support at our Pivot level of 80.62 and ended the day-session at 80.70, down 18 tics.  The close below the 10-day MA changes the s/t trend to 'negative' w/ neutral momentum indicators. Higher equity prices could weigh further on the DX ahead of Friday's economic reports on Personal Consumption, Personal Income and the U of Michigan Consumer Confidence survey at 8:30am et. A lower open may find Support at 80.42 and 80.15, while an open above 80.84 should find Resistance at 81.11 and 81.52.


Bob Kozak

Alaron Research Team

800.462.4691

bkozak.com



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