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Alaron Energy Comment

CHICAGO - Dec 22/08 - SNS -- Following is the energy futures comment from Alaron Trading Corp.

 

T'was the last Energy Report before Christmas, when all through the pits
Trader's are wondering why the crude prices slipped.

The Traders put on their positions with care.  And hoped that their equity still would be there.

OPEC was nestled all snug in their beds,  
While visions of high prices danced in their heads.
With Ali in his kerchief, and Hugo with his rap,
OPEC had fallen for a bear market trap.

And after tough Algeria talk, the Cartel was in tatters.

They made a record cut in production and it did not seem to matter.

After a short term rally that was gone in a flash, the January crude expiration took on the look of a crash.

To the cartel the selloff was a terrible blow, as  members of the cartel desperately need all of that dough

When, what to those greedy OPEC eyes should appear,
a market focused on demand destruction, the cartel's deepest fear.

With a major sell-off in oil so lively and quick,
the realization of their futility hit them like a ton of bricks.
More rapid than eagles they will point the finger of blame,

and who will cheat first on production let us call them by name.

Will it be Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, or Nigeria? Or perhaps, Venezuela, Libya, Qatar or Algeria.

The lost control of the market and their backs to the wall, they had better, cut away, cut away, cut away all!        

As winter rolls in we have plenty of supply.
When they meet with winter obstacle, no move to the sky.
So unless the economy improves, OPEC will be put to the screws
And Putin and Russia will have big problems too.

For oil to come back we will need strong demand proof,

yet with the struggling economy that proof is aloof.

The President is hoping that autos can turn things around. Yet how can this happen with no plan that is sound?

You can throw them some money but I would still buy puts,
it is like burning your money into ashes and soot.
A bundle of goodies to get the economy on track.
And Ben Bernanke looked like a peddler, just opening his pack.

How he printed the money when things got so hairy,
but the banks still won't lend because the risk is still scary.
He will do anything to get that credit to flow. But he has to get someone to start lending the dough.

And as if the economic crisis wasn't enough of a kick in the teeth,
then you get Bernie Madoff who is a terrible thief.
The fraud went on despite the fact his books sure seemed smelly.

As an economic foundation built on a bowl full of Jelly.

The economic crisis took on a life for of itself and the theory of decoupling has been put on the shelf.

For oil producers, high prices, it went to their heads. Yet now in the future there books will see red.

When the economy is slow cutting production won't work and it proves that the cartel is a group full of jerks.

To the market right now they just have just stuck out their nose, yet in a struggling economy you need for demand then to grow.  

Our soldiers are fighting in lands far away and we pray for them  and their families each and every  day. They are fighting to defend all our rights so to them and all of you, Merry Christmas and goodnight.

The Energy Report is taking off the rest of the week! Make sure you call in for trade updates! Call me at 800-935-6487 or email me at philflynn@alaron.com  .

We're  short February crude on the triple  rollover from  apprx  4461 - put in stop 5100.

Buy February natural gas at 510 -  stop 470.

Have a GREAT day and holidays!

 


Phil Flynn

Alaron Research Team

800.563.9510

pflynn@alaron.com



DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the author(s) that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Alaron Trading Corp. its officers, directors, employees and brokers may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report.

Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. and/or STAT Publishing or its staff and/or management.


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