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10% Smaller Orange Crop Seen
WASHINGTON - Oct 10/08 - SNS -- The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2008-09 season is 9.19 million tons, down 10% from the 2007-08 final utilization but 21% higher than the 2006-07 final utilization of 7.63 million tons, according to the USDA's latest crop production estimates.
Florida's all orange forecast, at 166 million boxes (7.47 million tons), decreased 2% from last season's final utilization but is 29% higher than the 2006-07 crop. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 88.0 million boxes (3.96 million tons), up 5% from last season and 34% above the 2006-07 crop. Florida's Valencia forecast, at 78.0 million boxes (3.51 million tons), is down 10% from the 2007-08 crop but 23% higher than 2006-07. The early, midseason, and navel orange production forecast is 13% higher than Valencia production, the largest percentage difference since the 2002-03 season. Average fruit per tree for early-midseason oranges (excluding Navels) is 2% higher than last season but 15% lower for Valencias. Fruit sizes are average on all orange varieties.
Orange production in California is forecast at 44.0 million boxes (1.65 million tons), down 32% from 2007-08 and 4% below the 2006-07 crop. Navel oranges are forecast at 32.0 million boxes (1.20 million tons), down 34% from last season and down 7% from final 2006-07 utilization. The October 1 California Valencia forecast is 12.0 million boxes (450,000 tons), down 25% from last season but up 4% from the 2006-07 crop. Navel orange fruit were sizing well, and harvest should begin by mid-October. A lower than average navel yield is expected since fruit set per tree is at the lowest level on record. Harvest of the 2007-08 Valencia crop remained underway in many locations. Growers expect a decrease in production for the 2008-09 crop.
The Texas October 1 forecast for all oranges is 1.50 million boxes (64,000 tons), down 13% from 2007-08 and 24% lower than the 2006-07 season. Arizona's all orange production is forecast at 250,000 boxes, down 34% from last season and 17% lower than the 2006-07 crop.
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